base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 19.7% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Front-week shows extreme skew and elevated 0–7d IV, 7–28d rich then flattens into mid-dated levels ~54–58%
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+90.3M)
Gamma flip: ~$200.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 28,406 (28.2% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI concentrated ~28% below spot with max-pain strikes clustered $232/$235/$240
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-05-08 $255.00/$215.00 put wing and $305.00/$340.00 call wing
Sell balanced wings into 21 DTE post-earnings to collect rich premiums with defined risk both sides.
Mgmt: Trim or buy wings if spot approaches $232–$240 pin zone or IV collapses; close on >2% daily adverse moves or break below $200.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-08 $255.00/$225.00 put spread
Sell $255/$225 spread to harvest skewed front-mid IV with defined downside cap.
Mgmt: Reduce size or hedge if spot falls toward $232–$240 or IV drops below 30%; exit on sustained >2% adverse daily moves.
!Pinning around $232–240 may trap sellers into directional moves
!Rapid IV compression or spot break below $200 invalidates short-premium setups
!Event or earnings-sized move can spike puts and overwhelm GEX cushioning