thetaOwl

AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.Close $668.00EOD only
Max Pain
$555.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.75
2.1% from close
Price Gap
-113.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
29
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.01
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 25, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMAT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 25, 2026 close
AMAT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 8 because conflicting flow signals and distant earnings event prevent full alignment; if price holds $580 through next week, conviction rises to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on $580 pin supported by dealer long gamma, positive net flow premium, and high IV offering premium-selling opportunities.

Where They Diverge

Flow is bullish net premium yet put/call ratio >1 and directional sees bearish drift above max pain; earnings term structure suggests post-event move but not before 48 days.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-31 $580/$570 put credit spread for $2.25 credit, max risk $7.75.

Key Risk

Break below $580 triggers dealer gamma flip from long to short, accelerating decline toward $548 and invalidating pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.