thetaOwl

AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.Close $585.88EOD only
Max Pain
$550.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$43.77
7.5% from close
Price Gap
-35.88
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
19
Low premium
P/C OI
0.96
Balanced positioning
Consensus
3.0/10
Downside lean
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMAT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
AMAT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
3.0

out of 10

3 not higher because directional and flow are in stark disagreement with similar confidence; theta's 'wait' verdict confirms indecision; earnings in 51 days add uncertainty.

Where Perspectives Agree

Dealer long gamma near $550 creates a pinning effect, but tech selloff momentum and high put skew suggest downside risk; IV elevated across tenors.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees bearish bias from spot above max pain and tech weakness, while flow reads bullish institutional call buying and positive GEX, directly contradicting directional thesis.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $520/$480 put spread for $2.10 debit — defined risk bearish bet that profits from downside break below $550 pin.

Key Risk

Break below $430 flips dealer gamma long to short, removing pin support and accelerating downside toward $400.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.