thetaOwl

AEM

Agnico Eagle Mines LimitedClose $178.15EOD only
Max Pain
$185.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.68
3.2% from close
Price Gap
+6.85
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
28
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.56
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4/4
Partial coverage
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AEM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
AEM Flow Report
Analysis based on market close March 31, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call buying at strikes >$210 with volume > OI
Invalidation: Net premium flips negative or P/C ratio rises above 1.0
Confidence:
4.5 / 10
base 3; +1.5 strong net premium & flow regime; -0 low volume/size constraint

Watch next session: $220C OI growth vs. volume; Any put flow >$1M notional near spot

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$18.1M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.70 — call-dominant

P/C OI ratio: 0.69 — moderate call lean

Clear bullish premium flow with a call-dominant P/C ratio. The net positive $18.1M premium and spot trading well above max pain suggest institutional positioning favors upside continuation, albeit in a low-volume, high-IV environment.

Notable Prints

#1
AEM 4/17/26 $220 Call
Vol: 562
OI: 1,119
Vol/OI: 0.5x
IV: 55.5%
Notional: ~$1.28M
Intent: Addition to existing bullish position (roll or scale-in)
Dual read: Could be closing long calls (bearish) or opening new shorts (neutral/bearish)

Read-through: High notional, but volume < OI suggests it's likely adjusting an existing large position rather than a fresh directional bet. Given the bullish flow regime, a roll or scale-in is more probable than closing.

#2
AEM 4/2/26 $207.50 Call
Vol: 248
OI: 1,236
Vol/OI: 0.2x
IV: 53.4%
Notional: ~$1.31M
Intent: Near-term bullish positioning or delta hedge
Dual read: Opening long calls (bullish) or selling/writing calls (neutral/bearish)

Read-through: Very high notional for a weekly option. The low vol/OI ratio again points to activity within an existing large position. Given its proximity to spot ($202.98), this could be part of a complex structure like a ratio spread or a delta adjustment for a large holder.

#3
AEM 1/15/27 $40 Call
Vol: 4
OI: 1,518
Vol/OI: 0.0x
IV: 47.5%
Notional: ~$2.73M
Intent: Deep ITM long-dated call activity (likely financing or leverage trade)
Dual read: Buying deep ITM calls (bullish, synthetic long) or selling them (closing long, neutral)

Read-through: Extremely high notional value driven by deep intrinsic value. Tiny volume relative to massive OI suggests minimal new flow; this is likely a legacy position. Its contribution to the bullish net premium is structural, not a new signal.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Activity concentrated in near-term $207.5C and $220C. Large legacy OI in deep ITM $40/$55/$140 calls.

Put additions: Minimal. Top put OI is at $165 and $150, far OTM and likely legacy hedges.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — Positive GEX (+$4.6M) aligns with bullish flow, supporting a pinning/mean-reverting regime near current levels.

OI clusters: Key Call Walls: $220 (1,419 OI), $207.5 (1,236 OI). Key Put Support: $165 (2,395 OI combined). Gamma flip ~$165 acts as strong put support.

Hedging evidence: Minimal near-term protective put flow. Large, far OTM put OI clusters ($150-$165) are likely legacy portfolio insurance, not fresh hedging.

Max pain context: Current MP at $190, with spot at $203. The rising MP trend ($190→$200) and spot > MP suggest bullish drift, but positive GEX may cause resistance near call walls ($207.5, $220).

Signal vs Noise

~Deep ITM calls ($40, $55, $140): High notional flow is noise — driven by intrinsic value of legacy positions, not new directional bets.
~Low-volume prints on high OI strikes (e.g., $220C vol 562 vs OI 1119): Likely position adjustments/rolls, not fresh directional initiation.
~Far OTM put OI ($150, $165): Legacy hedging, not indicative of new bearish sentiment.

Key Conclusions

📊Bullish flow regime confirmed by +$18.1M net premium & P/C 0.70, but confidence capped by low total volume.
🧲Positive GEX (+$4.6M) and spot > Max Pain suggest a pinning/mean-reverting environment with support near $165.
⚠️Most notable prints are adjustments to large existing positions, not fresh directional bets. Watch for new high vol/OI activity.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on March 31, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.