thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $299.24EOD only
Max Pain
$295.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.97
1.0% from close
Price Gap
-4.24
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
94
High premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
AAPL Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short put
Invalidation: Spot breaks below support $286.1
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV 32.2% vs VIX 18.4% – elevated
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Steep near-term spike on 1DTE (put IV 184%) due to expiration. Back months contango ~27%.

⚠️Expiration day volatility spike elevates short-term IV. Premium selling attractive but watch pin risk.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Pinning ($+296.7M)

Gamma flip: ~$240.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 59,773 (18.9% below spot)

OI concentrations: Max pain today $298, next day $270. Put OI 59,773 at $240 (18.9% below spot). Call wall $320-$350.

Verdict: High pin risk on expiration; gamma flip at $240 if spot drops.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-24 $275.00/$270.00 put spread
Sell put spread to collect premium with limited downside.
Credit: $0.51-$0.62
Max loss: $4.38
BE: $274.38
Mgmt: Exit at 50% max gain or if spot below 286.1.
#2
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-24 $275.00 cash-secured put
Sell put to acquire shares at discount or collect premium.
Credit: $1.87-$2.29
Max loss: $272.71
BE: $272.71
Mgmt: Roll if challenged; avoid assignment before earnings.

Risk Alerts

!Expiration day – rapid IV decay and pin risk
!Gamma flip risk if spot drops to $240
!Elevated 1DTE IV may distort near-term pricing
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.