thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $291.13EOD only
Max Pain
$292.50
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.87
1.3% from close
Price Gap
+1.37
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
56
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
AAPL Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put credit spread
Invalidation: Break below support $280.53
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.3% from MP; +1 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV (avg 32%) elevated vs VIX 17.68, favorable for selling.
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Upward sloping from 0DTE skew to ~27% back months; front-month extreme skew (put IV 78%) reflects pin risk.

📈Positive GEX $273M supports pinning near max pain $295
⚠️0DTE put IV 78% signals extreme pin risk
📊IV term structure elevated vs VIX, favorable for premium selling

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Pinning ($+273.4M)

Gamma flip: ~$240.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 59,751 (17.6% below spot)

OI concentrations: Max pain $295 (today), $292 (6/15), $298 (6/17); call wall $310-$350; put floor $240-$240; gamma flip $240.

Verdict: Pinning likely near $295 due to positive GEX and dealer hedging; extreme caution on 0DTE gamma exposure.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $280.00/$275.00 put spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $280/$275 put spread, capturing elevated IV while support limits downside.
Credit: $0.87-$1.07
Max loss: $3.93
BE: $278.93
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks $280.53; manage for pin reversion to $295.

Risk Alerts

!0DTE options exhibit extreme IV skew with put IV 78% - avoid naked shorts
!Gamma flip at $240 - watch for acceleration if breached
!Spot below max pain $295 - potential reversion to pin
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.