thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $291.13EOD only
Max Pain
$292.50
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.87
1.3% from close
Price Gap
+1.37
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
56
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
AAPL Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer theta report is available for June 12, 2026.

View latest report

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short premium
Invalidation: Spot below $295 support
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV 31.6% vs VIX 19.4%: elevated
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term high on 1d expiry; contango thereafter

🚀Bullish GEX +$421.5M, low put/call ratio 0.66
📌Max pain pinning ~$295; spot at MP

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Pinning ($+421.5M)

Gamma flip: ~$240.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 59,751 (18.8% below spot)

OI concentrations: Call wall $320-$350, put floor $240

Verdict: Low pin risk: spot near max pain, put support above $295

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $285.00/$265.00 put spread
Sell $285/$265 put spread to collect premium from elevated IV while managing risk below $295.
Credit: $2.77-$3.38
Max loss: $16.62
BE: $281.62
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks $295 support or IV collapses below 30%.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $285.00/$265.00 put wing and $310.00/$325.00 call wing
Sell $285/$265 put wing and $310/$325 call wing to profit from low volatility and pin near max pain.
Credit: $4.94-$6.03
Max loss: $13.97
BE: 278.97 / 316.03
Mgmt: Adjust if IV spike beyond 40% or spot approaches wings; close at 50% max gain.

Risk Alerts

!Near-term IV spike on 6/12 expiry (Calls 40.6%, Puts 69.7%)
!Gamma flip at $240 (18.8% below spot)
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.