base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.8% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Short-dated put IV elevated; term structure shows forward skew
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+805.2M)
Gamma flip: ~$240.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 58,239 (22.3% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put wall at $240 (58K OI) 22% below spot; max pain pin at $298 for 0DTE
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $300.00/$290.00 put wing and $325.00/$335.00 call wing
Sells OTM put and call spreads to capture theta decay.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or adjust if spot breaches wings.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $295.00/$285.00 put spread
Sells put spread below support to collect premium with defined risk.
Mgmt: Consider early close if spot drops below $300.
#3Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-17 $290.00 cash-secured put
Sells naked put to earn premium with cash collateral.
Mgmt: Roll down or close if spot approaches strike.
!Gamma flip level at $240 — distant but significant if breached
!Spot 3.8% above max pain — potential pullback risk