Expected Move — XLF
Data as of market close Apr 2, 2026
XLF Expected Move Data
- Nearest Expiry
- 2026-04-10
- Expected Move
- ±2.7%
- Expected Range
- $48.21–$50.85
- Days to Expiry
- 8
- ATM Strike
- $49.50
- Spot Price
- $49.53
Expected Move by Expiration (spot: $49.53)
Expected Move by Expiration
| Expiration | DTE | ATM Strike | Expected Move | Move % | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 8 | $49.50 | ±$1.32 | ±2.7% | $48.21 | $50.85 |
| 2026-04-17 | 15 | $49.50 | ±$1.86 | ±3.8% | $47.67 | $51.38 |
| 2026-04-24 | 22 | $49.50 | ±$2.41 | ±4.9% | $47.12 | $51.93 |
| 2026-05-01 | 29 | $49.50 | ±$2.55 | ±5.2% | $46.98 | $52.08 |
| 2026-05-08 | 36 | $50.00 | ±$2.83 | ±5.7% | $46.69 | $52.36 |
| 2026-05-15 | 43 | $50.00 | ±$3.02 | ±6.1% | $46.50 | $52.55 |
| 2026-06-18 | 77 | $50.00 | ±$4.05 | ±8.2% | $45.47 | $53.58 |
| 2026-06-30 | 89 | $50.00 | ±$4.16 | ±8.4% | $45.37 | $53.68 |
| 2026-07-17 | 106 | $50.00 | ±$4.64 | ±9.4% | $44.89 | $54.17 |
| 2026-08-21 | 141 | $50.00 | ±$5.38 | ±10.8% | $44.15 | $54.90 |
| 2026-09-18 | 169 | $50.00 | ±$5.86 | ±11.8% | $43.67 | $55.39 |
| 2026-09-30 | 181 | $50.00 | ±$6.08 | ±12.3% | $43.44 | $55.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | 197 | $50.00 | ±$6.40 | ±12.9% | $43.13 | $55.93 |
| 2026-11-20 | 232 | $50.00 | ±$7.12 | ±14.4% | $42.40 | $56.65 |
| 2026-12-18 | 260 | $50.00 | ±$7.57 | ±15.3% | $41.95 | $57.10 |
| 2026-12-31 | 273 | $50.00 | ±$7.79 | ±15.7% | $41.73 | $57.32 |
| 2027-01-15 | 288 | $50.00 | ±$8.23 | ±16.6% | $41.30 | $57.75 |
| 2027-03-19 | 351 | $50.00 | ±$8.85 | ±17.9% | $40.68 | $58.38 |
| Expiration | Days to Expiry | ATM Strike | Expected Move | Move % | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 8 | 49.5 | 1.32 | 2.67 | 48.21 | 50.85 |
| 2026-04-17 | 15 | 49.5 | 1.86 | 3.75 | 47.67 | 51.38 |
| 2026-04-24 | 22 | 49.5 | 2.41 | 4.86 | 47.12 | 51.93 |
| 2026-05-01 | 29 | 49.5 | 2.55 | 5.15 | 46.98 | 52.08 |
| 2026-05-08 | 36 | 50 | 2.83 | 5.72 | 46.69 | 52.36 |
| 2026-05-15 | 43 | 50 | 3.02 | 6.11 | 46.5 | 52.55 |
| 2026-06-18 | 77 | 50 | 4.05 | 8.19 | 45.47 | 53.58 |
| 2026-06-30 | 89 | 50 | 4.16 | 8.39 | 45.37 | 53.68 |
| 2026-07-17 | 106 | 50 | 4.64 | 9.37 | 44.89 | 54.17 |
| 2026-08-21 | 141 | 50 | 5.38 | 10.85 | 44.15 | 54.9 |
| 2026-09-18 | 169 | 50 | 5.86 | 11.83 | 43.67 | 55.39 |
| 2026-09-30 | 181 | 50 | 6.08 | 12.29 | 43.44 | 55.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | 197 | 50 | 6.4 | 12.92 | 43.13 | 55.93 |
| 2026-11-20 | 232 | 50 | 7.12 | 14.39 | 42.4 | 56.65 |
| 2026-12-18 | 260 | 50 | 7.57 | 15.29 | 41.95 | 57.1 |
| 2026-12-31 | 273 | 50 | 7.79 | 15.74 | 41.73 | 57.32 |
| 2027-01-15 | 288 | 50 | 8.23 | 16.61 | 41.3 | 57.75 |
| 2027-03-19 | 351 | 50 | 8.85 | 17.87 | 40.68 | 58.38 |
Check the expected price move for XLF by expiration date, derived from options pricing. Compare implied moves across timeframes to gauge how much the market expects the stock to move.