thetaOwl

XLE

Energy Select Sector SPDRClose $57.63EOD only
Max Pain
$57.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.94
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.63
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
15
Low premium
P/C OI
1.75
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects XLE options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
XLE Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Spot holds above $59 or call volume surges; bullish momentum.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $55 and put flow accelerates; bearish.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.9% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: $62 call activity; June 5 puts

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$5.9M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.25

P/C OI ratio: 1.74

Mixed flow: heavy put accumulation for downside hedges but positive net premium and supportive macro. GEX $101.9M pinning near $52.5 gamma flip. Watch $59 resistance and $55 support.

Notable Prints

#1
XLE 2026-05-22 $62.00 Call
Vol: 2,516
OI: 112
Vol/OI: 22.5x
IV: 30.3%
Notional: ~$23K
Intent: Speculative long calls

Read-through: Bullish on XLE

#2
XLE 2026-06-05 $59.00 Put
Vol: 1,858
OI: 150
Vol/OI: 12.4x
IV: 31.3%
Notional: ~$357K
Intent: Hedging or bearish

Read-through: Bearish sentiment

#3
XLE 2026-06-05 $57.00 Put
Vol: 3,849
OI: 317
Vol/OI: 12.1x
IV: 26.9%
Notional: ~$373K
Intent: Downside protection

Read-through: Bearish

#4
XLE 2026-06-12 $58.00 Put
Vol: 943
OI: 153
Vol/OI: 6.2x
IV: 26.6%
Notional: ~$153K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
XLE 2026-06-05 $55.00 Put
Vol: 1,421
OI: 304
Vol/OI: 4.7x
IV: 27.7%
Notional: ~$61K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal; only $62C (2.5k vol, OI 112) above spot.

Put additions: Heavy; Jun5/12 $55-$59 puts (vol/oi 4-12x), especially $57 and $58.5 strikes.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes; GEX +$101.9M, DEX +144M shares, both positive despite put flow.

OI clusters: Puts: $58 and $58.5 multi-expiration (OI 200-300 each). Calls: $62 low OI.

Hedging evidence: Put buying may hedge long positions; positive GEX suggests net call gamma dominance.

Max pain context: Spot above MP (regime 'Above'); MP likely near $58, pinning mechanism supports near-term stability.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Heavy put volume at $55-$59 strikes (Jun5/12) indicates institutional hedging or bearish bias.
~Noise: $62C spike (22.5x vol/OI) is noise — small OI, minimal impact.
~Signal: Consistent put OI buildup across weeklies and monthlies suggests deliberate positioning.

Key Conclusions

🛡️Smart money adding downside protection via $55-$59 puts; net GEX positive indicates overall call gamma dominance reducing downside risk.
⚠️Spot above MP with heavy put OI suggests limited upside; XLE may pin near $58-$59 through OpEx.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.