thetaOwl

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETFClose $742.72EOD only
Max Pain
$734.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.93
0.7% from close
Price Gap
-8.72
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
22
Low premium
P/C OI
2.45
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SPY options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
SPY Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 21, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: SPY holds above 738 with VIX below 17. Call volume dominance at 738 and positive GEX reinforce upside.
Invalidation: Break below 736 or VIX above 19.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Watch price reaction at 738; Monitor gamma flip near 530

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$1.5B bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.88

P/C OI ratio: 2.45

Heavy 0DTE call activity at 738 and positive GEX support near-term bullish momentum. Low VIX below 17 confirms lack of downside risk. Bullish bias with upside target 745.

Notable Prints

#1
SPY 2026-05-21 $742.00 Put
Vol: 265,667
OI: 1,141
Vol/OI: 232.8x
IV: 1.6%
Notional: ~$797K
Intent: Bearish hedging
Dual read: Speculation on drop

Read-through: Tail risk

#2
SPY 2026-05-21 $743.00 Put
Vol: 231,101
OI: 1,241
Vol/OI: 186.2x
IV: 0.0%
Notional: ~$5.8M
Intent: Bearish position
Dual read: Covering shorts

Read-through: Expects downside

#3
SPY 2026-05-21 $739.00 Call
Vol: 362,374
OI: 2,312
Vol/OI: 156.7x
IV: 10.9%
Notional: ~$147.5M
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Covering calls

Read-through: Upside bias

#4
SPY 2026-05-21 $737.00 Put
Vol: 379,906
OI: 3,607
Vol/OI: 105.3x
IV: 6.4%
Notional: ~$380K
Intent: Deep OTM put buying
Dual read: Hedging tail

Read-through: Fear of selloff

#5
SPY 2026-05-21 $744.00 Call
Vol: 528,535
OI: 5,405
Vol/OI: 97.8x
IV: 2.6%
Notional: ~$2.1M
Intent: Bullish gamble
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Momentum bet

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: 739C, 744C, 742C, 743C with high vol/oi; bullish bets near MP.

Put additions: Heavy puts at 737-743 strikes; low IV suggests hedging rather than directional.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +946M, DEX +289M shares; aligned with pinning regime.

OI clusters: Largest OI at 740-743; put OI heavy below spot, call OI above.

Hedging evidence: Close-to-the-money put purchases indicate collars or protective puts.

Max pain context: Spot at MP ($~741); pinning expected with low vol.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: GEX positive and near MP pinning; high call vol at 739-744.
~Noise: OTM put volume with extreme vol/oi ratios (e.g., 742P, 743P) likely manipulation.

Key Conclusions

🐻Heavy put OI but low IV suggests hedging not bearish bet.
🐂Call additions at 739-744 show bullish positioning.
⚖️Regime: low vol, pinning at MP; flow mixed but gamma supportive.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 21, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.