thetaOwl

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETFClose $701.66EOD only
Max Pain
$678.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.54
0.5% from close
Price Gap
-23.66
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
35
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
2.45
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SPY options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
SPY Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish (Pinning)
Confirmation: Large same‑day put and call prints clustered 704–712 with heavy OI and positive GEX (+$2.8B) imply dealer pinning and short‑gamma hedging supportive of upside/backing spot.
Invalidation: Sustained move away from pin range (below gamma_flip ~535 or >4% drift from mid), rising VIX or reversal in flow/net premium would negate pinning.
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.0% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor prints/vol at 704–712 strikes; Track gamma_flip level and dex GEX changes; VIX and spot vs MP divergence; Net premium/put-call flow direction

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$1.1B bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.19

P/C OI ratio: 2.40

Pinning bias: dealer hedging from large short‑dated prints (puts+calls) produced positive GEX and likely price pin; break below flip level, widening spot/MP gap, or rising VIX would invalidate.

Notable Prints

#1
SPY 2026-04-17 $710.00 Put
Vol: 807,035
OI: 109
Vol/OI: 7404.0x
IV: 0.6%
Notional: ~$2.4M
Intent: sell_flow
Dual read: hedge_or_directional

Read-through: pinning

#2
SPY 2026-04-17 $709.00 Put
Vol: 683,327
OI: 214
Vol/OI: 3193.1x
IV: 2.0%
Notional: ~$683K
Intent: sell_flow
Dual read: hedge_or_directional

Read-through: pinning

#3
SPY 2026-04-17 $707.00 Put
Vol: 357,470
OI: 561
Vol/OI: 637.2x
IV: 4.1%
Notional: ~$357K
Intent: sell_flow
Dual read: hedge_or_directional

Read-through: pinning

#4
SPY 2026-04-20 $710.00 Put
Vol: 119,602
OI: 200
Vol/OI: 598.0x
IV: 7.4%
Notional: ~$25.2M
Intent: sell_flow
Dual read: hedge_or_directional

Read-through: near_term_hedge

#5
SPY 2026-04-17 $706.00 Put
Vol: 273,238
OI: 810
Vol/OI: 337.3x
IV: 5.7%
Notional: ~$273K
Intent: sell_flow
Dual read: hedge_or_directional

Read-through: pinning

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Intraday institutional‑sized call prints concentrated at 711–712 (exp 4/17); notable OI there but many nearby expiries are low‑price noise, so pinning should be treated as tentative unless prints constitute a material share of local OI

Put additions: Heavy same‑day put flow clustered 704–710 with sizable buys around 705–710; concentration increases short‑term downside sensitivity

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$2.8B and DEX +327M are directionally consistent with upside gamma support, but noisy expiries and concentrated puts make the net effect ambiguous

OI clusters: Largest OI clusters: calls ~711–712 and puts ~704–710; intraday prints appear trade‑sized versus many small expiring contracts, limiting confidence in a firm pin

Hedging evidence: Put OI and call prints are consistent with collars/structured selling as a hypothesis — cannot confirm; request trade‑level/venue data or IV time‑series to validate hedging intent

Max pain context: Spot ~4% above MP; tentative pin toward call cluster possible but conditional on print size vs expiring noise

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: concentrated intraday institutional‑sized prints at 711–712 calls and 705–710 puts — potential short‑term pin if prints are a material share of OI
~Signal: positive GEX/DEX supports gamma‑skewed dynamics reducing realized vol on modest moves
~Noise: many low‑price expiring contracts and wash‑trade‑like ticks inflate apparent flow and OI ratios

Key Conclusions

📌Tentative pin toward 711–712 — depends on whether intraday prints are a material share of nearby OI.
⚠️Put concentration 704–710 raises tail risk; verify hedging hypothesis with trade‑level or IV time‑series to confirm structured selling.

Read the Flow analysis for SPY for 2026-04-17. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.