thetaOwl

SOXL

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3XClose $234.68EOD only
Max Pain
$170.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$43.25
18.4% from close
Price Gap
-64.68
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
87
High premium
P/C OI
1.57
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOXL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
SOXL Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer theta report is available for June 12, 2026.

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Theta Verdict

Attractiveness7 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put credit spreads
Invalidation: Spot below $170 gamma flip
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 12.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
187% vs VIX 19; extreme
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front-end elevated; peak at 7d then decaying

📈IV 187% vs VIX 19 is extreme; premium selling attractive but short-term risk from gamma pinning
📉Term structure backwardated after 7d; favor longer-dated sells

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+4.3M)

Gamma flip: ~$170.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 5,940 (24.1% below spot)

OI concentrations: Max pain $200 (1d), $165 (7d), $180 (15d). Call wall $250-$300; put floor $120-$170

Verdict: Spot well above gamma flip ($170); pin risk skewed lower near H2

Premium Opportunities

#1
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-02 $200.00 cash-secured put
Extreme IV (187% vs VIX 19) and heavy put OI favor selling puts with $30 buffer.
Credit: $26.73-$32.67
Max loss: $167.33
BE: $167.33
Mgmt: Monitor spot; exit if below $170 or IV collapses.

Risk Alerts

!High IV skew with extreme put IV fronts
!Gamma flip at $170; spot $204 is above, but 1d max pain $200
!Put/call OI ratio 1.56; heavy put volume
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.