thetaOwl

SOXL

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3XClose $194.65EOD only
Max Pain
$205.00
Next expiry Jul 10, 2026
Expected Move
±$32.77
16.8% from close
Price Gap
+10.35
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.48
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
3.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jul 6, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOXL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 6, 2026 close
SOXL Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained break below $200 gamma flip
Invalidation: Daily close above $200
Confidence:
3.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; -1 spot 10.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$2.7M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 2.22

P/C OI ratio: 1.65

Heavy put volume (P/C vol 2.22) and negative GEX (-$11.7M) signal bearish flow. Spot below gamma flip at $200. High OI put concentration suggests downside hedging. Unusual call prints at OTM strikes but negligible premium. Market downward context reinforces bearish bias.

Notable Prints

#1
SOXL 2026-06-26 $220.00 Call
Vol: 9,521
OI: 660
Vol/OI: 14.4x
IV: 31.0%
Notional: ~$57K
Intent: Speculative OTM call buying
Dual read: Possibly sell-to-open if OI increases

Read-through: Volume 14.4x OI; lotto bet on spike above $220

#2
SOXL 2026-06-26 $225.00 Call
Vol: 4,310
OI: 360
Vol/OI: 12.0x
IV: 36.7%
Notional: ~$4K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
SOXL 2026-06-26 $222.50 Call
Vol: 1,646
OI: 203
Vol/OI: 8.1x
IV: 75.8%
Notional: ~$3K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
SOXL 2026-06-26 $202.50 Put
Vol: 1,442
OI: 203
Vol/OI: 7.1x
IV: 127.6%
Notional: ~$9K
Intent: Bearish hedging near gamma flip

Read-through: IV 127%; put OI concentration below $200

#5
SOXL 2026-07-02 $215.00 Put
Vol: 1,228
OI: 173
Vol/OI: 7.1x
IV: 189.9%
Notional: ~$2.6M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls at 220,225,222.5,227.5 (vol/oi 4.9-14.4)

Put additions: Puts at 202.5,205,212.5,215 Jul2,78 (vol/oi 5.1-7.1)

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX -$11.7M vs positive DEX +30.9M shares, mixed

OI clusters: Call OI: 220(660),225(360); Put OI: 205(628),212.5(351)

Hedging evidence: Put OI 7.2% below spot suggests downside hedges; short gamma

Max pain context: Spot below MP ~215; gamma flip at 200; put concentration 205-212.5

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi on 220C and 225C is signal, but low OI reduces conviction
~Put concentration at 205-212.5 is signal of hedging; small OTM puts noise

Key Conclusions

🛡️Put buildup at 205-212.5 signals downside hedging, not bearish conviction
⚠️Negative GEX and spot below MP risk acceleration lower
📈Call buying at 220+ shows speculative upside bets despite weak action
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.