thetaOwl

SOXL

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3XClose $114.72EOD only
Max Pain
$135.00
Next expiry Aug 7, 2026
Expected Move
±$22.42
19.6% from close
Price Gap
+20.28
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.91
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
3.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jul 31, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOXL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jul 31, 2026 close
SOXL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 18, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for June 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not 7 because the bearish flow is strong but GEX positive and call premium suggest institutional buyers, causing a standoff; a break of $200 would raise conviction to 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives identify SOXL as trading far above max pain, creating a downward pull, but positive GEX near $278 supports near-term pinning.

Where They Diverge

Directional recommends bearish put spreads, directly opposing Theta's bullish short put strategy, while Flow's mixed signals (put volume vs. call premium) add uncertainty.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-10 $300/$302.5 call spread for $0.65 credit — bearish defined risk, profits from pin or decline, avoids binary event risk.

Key Risk

Break below $200 flips dealer gamma long, removing the pin and accelerating downside toward $185 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.