base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.6% from MP; +1 VIX 15
Term structure: Front-week ATM IV 74-98%, longer-dated 100-108% – steep contango in short term, elevated across board
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+2.9M)
Gamma flip: ~$1300.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 3,760 (26.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put floor $900-$1600; Call wall $2000; max pain pins at $1650 (1d), $1500 (8d), $1000 (14d)
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-26 $1600.00/$1470.00 put wing and $2080.00/$2260.00 call wing
Sells put and call wings, profiting if spot stays within $1470-$2080 by expiry; low directional bias.
Mgmt: Exit if spot approaches $1600 or $2080; set stop loss at 50% of max loss. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Volume below 5.; short_call: Volume below 5.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-26 $1535.00/$1390.00 put spread
Sells put spread at $1535/$1390, betting spot stays above $1535; limited risk.
Mgmt: Monitor spot; roll up if spot drops below $1550; close before earnings. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Volume below 5.; long_put: Volume below 5.
!Extreme IV suggests binary event risk; high put/call ratios (1.93 vol, 1.66 OI) indicate strong hedging demand
!Gamma flip at $1300 – keep position sizes small and monitor spot proximity