base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 12.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Term structure: Extreme front-week skew; back-month IV elevated but flat
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+2.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$1100.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 4,730 (21.9% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI concentrated $800-$1300; call OI wall $1800-$2000
#1Put diagonal
Sell 2026-06-18 $1260.00 put / buy 2026-09-18 $1250.00 put
Sell near-term put, buy later put to capture IV premium.
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaches invalidation level.
#2Call diagonal
Sell 2026-06-18 $1480.00 call / buy 2026-09-18 $1730.00 call
Sell near-term call, buy later call for bearish bias.
Mgmt: Roll short call if spot approaches short strike. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_call: Volume below 5.
#3PMCC / LEAPS diagonal
Buy 2026-09-18 $1250.00 call + sell 2026-06-18 $1480.00 call
Buy LEAPS call, sell shorter-term call for net long delta.
Mgmt: Adjust short call strike to manage delta. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_call: Volume below 5.
!Elevated gap risk due to high IV skew and spot far from major gamma levels
!Gamma flip at $1100 poses downside risk for put credit spreads; use bear put spread for defined risk