Term structure: Steep contango from 0DTE to 1DTE then flattening; 0DTE ATM IV 8.5% distorts front
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-7.8M)
Gamma flip: ~$50.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 45,063 (5.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $54 today & 6/30, $52 on 7/1; put floor $50, call wall $60-$75
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-24 $50.00/$48.00 put spread
Sell $50/$48 put spread to capture premium while avoiding pin risk near $54.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or at $50 invalidation level. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $50.00/$48.00 put wing and $55.00/$57.50 call wing
Sell $50/$48 put and $55/$57.50 call wings to profit from range-bound price action.
Mgmt: Adjust if price nears either wing; close at 50% max profit. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25.
!Negative dealer gamma (-$7.8M) amplifies pin risk and volatility
!Spot below max pain $54 increases probability of drift toward support
!Term structure extreme at 0DTE implies high event risk