base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Term structure: Front-end skew extreme: 1DTE calls 200% IV; term structure steep, backwardation from 0DTE
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Pinning ($+40.2M)
Gamma flip: ~$50.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 44,971 (17.5% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI concentration 44,971 contracts 17.5% below spot; call OI wall $66-$90; put floor $50-$50
#1Short strangle
Sell 2026-07-17 $56.50 put + sell $63.50 call
Sells OTM put and call to capture high IV.
Mgmt: Monitor gamma flip at $50 and guardrails; close if spot approaches strikes.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $56.00/$53.00 put spread
Sells put spread to collect premium while capping risk.
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks below short strike.
#3Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-10 $65.50 call / buy 2026-08-21 $70.00 call
Sells near-term call, buys longer-term call to profit from time decay.
Mgmt: Roll if short leg becomes ATM.
!1DTE extreme skew may imply tail risk
!Gamma flip at $50 if spot declines
!4.6% spot distance from max pain could snap