thetaOwl

RBLX

Roblox CorporationClose $45.79EOD only
Max Pain
$45.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.12
4.6% from close
Price Gap
-0.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
26
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.69
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
4/4
Partial coverage
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects RBLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
RBLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close March 31, 2026

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained net premium outflow >$10M and P/C volume ratio remaining above 1.1
Invalidation: Net premium flips positive with call buying concentrated at the $56-$62 strikes
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 strong net premium bearish; +1 P/C volume ratio >1.2; +1 flow aligns with GEX pinning; -1.5 P/C OI ratio shows long-term call lean

Watch next session: $48 PUT OI (6,923) for hedging pressure; Flow into $61-$62 calls for bullish reversal attempt

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$17.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.24 — put-dominant

P/C OI ratio: 0.74 — moderate call lean in positioning

Clear bearish flow today with significant net premium outflow, contrasting with a longer-term call-leaning OI structure. The market is paying for downside protection in the near term while maintaining longer-dated bullish exposure.

Notable Prints

#1
RBLX 4/10 $61 Call
Vol: 4,523
OI: 149
Vol/OI: 30.4x
IV: 60.9%
Notional: ~$1.36M (est. premium ~$300 per contract)
Intent: Fresh directional call buying or bullish spread leg
Dual read: Bought (bullish breakout bet) or sold/covered (neutral to bearish)

Read-through: Given the overall bearish flow and high vol/OI ratio, this is likely a speculative long call purchase targeting a move above $61 within 10 days. It's a counter-trend bet against the dominant put flow.

#2
RBLX 4/17 $80 Put
Vol: 491
OI: 139
Vol/OI: 3.5x
IV: 121.0%
Notional: ~$392,800 (est. premium ~$800 per contract)
Intent: Tail-risk hedge or speculative put purchase
Dual read: Bought (bearish crash protection) or sold (volatility short)

Read-through: Extremely high IV (121%) suggests this is an expensive, out-of-the-money hedge. The size and strike ($80 vs. spot $56.56) point to portfolio protection rather than a direct directional bet on a move to $80.

#3
RBLX 4/24 $57 Put
Vol: 200
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 63.3%
Notional: ~$114,000 (est. premium ~$570 per contract)
Intent: Near-the-money directional put or hedge
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold (covered/write)

Read-through: Strike is just above spot. Flow suggests bearish positioning for a move below $57 over the next 3+ weeks, potentially targeting the $48 put OI wall.

#4
RBLX 4/10 $62 Call
Vol: 278
OI: 174
Vol/OI: 1.6x
IV: 60.9%
Notional: ~$83,400 (est. premium ~$300 per contract)
Intent: Follow-on call buying, likely part of a spread with the $61C
Dual read: Bull call spread leg or standalone long call

Read-through: Supports the narrative of concentrated bullish speculation in the $61-$62 zone for the 4/10 expiry, acting as a defined-risk upside bet against the broader bearish flow.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minimal near-term. Long-dated OI clusters at $70, $90, $95 calls suggest longer-term bullish exposure.

Put additions: Significant premium paid for OTM puts ($80-$130). Major OI support at $48 and $55 puts.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — Positive GEX ($5.2M) indicates pinning pressure near spot, consistent with heavy OI at $55-$57. Bearish flow (DEX) is fighting against this gamma support.

OI clusters: Call walls: $70 (17,199 OI), $90 (9,699 OI). Put walls: $48 (6,923 OI), $55 (6,905 OI). Creates a near-term channel between $48 and $70.

Hedging evidence: Clear. Large net premium outflow to OTM puts ($80-$130) and substantial OI at protective $48 and $55 puts.

Max pain context: Spot ($56.56) is at/near max pain for the front two expiries ($57, $56). This reinforces the pinning effect from positive GEX and supports range-bound price action in the very near term.

Signal vs Noise

~The massive net premium outflow at strikes $80-$130 is almost certainly institutional hedging (portfolio protection), not a direct bet on those price levels being hit.
~High OI at deep OTM calls ($70, $90, $95) and puts ($25, $35) are likely legacy positions or part of complex multi-leg strategies (e.g., diagonals, calendars), not fresh directional signals.
~The $48 put, while having high OI (6,923), saw high volume (4,692) but is likely a roll or adjustment of an existing hedge given its distance from spot, not a new aggressive bearish bet.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Near-term flow is decisively bearish with -$17.8M net premium, but fighting against positive GEX pinning at max pain.
🛡️Institutions are heavily hedging with OTM puts, paying up for tail-risk protection.
🎯Spot is pinned between max pain ($57) and key put OI support ($55, $48). Break below $55 needed to confirm bearish flow.
⚔️Contrarian bullish speculation exists in $61-$62 calls for 4/10 expiry, creating a defined battle zone.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on March 31, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.