thetaOwl

QQQ

Invesco QQQ TrustClose $706.52EOD only
Max Pain
$723.00
Next expiry Jun 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$10.71
1.5% from close
Price Gap
+16.48
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
28
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.48
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects QQQ options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 26, 2026 close
QQQ Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 29, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness9 / 10
Sizing: Aggressive
Primary: Put Credit Spread
Invalidation: Spot < $700
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 2.0% from MP; +1 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV (28.1) significantly above VIX (17.65), elevated
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Steep contango; 0DTE put IV >70%, skew elevated

⚠️0DTE put IV 73% vs call 25%, extreme fear

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+200.9M)

Gamma flip: ~$660.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 195,441 (8.8% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI heavy $680-$710, call wall $800+

Verdict: Pinning risk high; spot $710 near max pain

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-31 $689.00/$677.00 put spread
Sells OTM put spread capturing elevated premium with limited downside.
Credit: $2.09-$2.56
Max loss: $9.44
BE: $686.44
Mgmt: Exit at 50% max gain or adjust if spot nears $700.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $685.00/$670.00 put wing and $764.00/$772.00 call wing
Short call and put wings profit from range-bound action.
Credit: $3.38-$4.13
Max loss: $10.87
BE: 680.87 / 768.13
Mgmt: Manage wings if spot breaches $700 or $760.
#3
Put diagonal
Sell 2026-07-24 $709.00 put / buy 2026-08-21 $705.00 put
Short front put, long back put benefiting from time decay and IV skew.
Debit: $5.61-$6.86
Max loss: $6.86
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Roll short put if spot nears strike.

Risk Alerts

!0DTE expiry with inflated put IV
!Gamma flip at $660 if selloff
!Large put OI below spot
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 29, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.