Term structure: Short-term IV elevated with steep call skew; term structure flattening after 16d then rising
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-68.2M)
Gamma flip: ~$110.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 21,893 (3.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI heavy at $110 (gamma flip) and $100 floor; call wall $140-$155
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $105.00/$90.00 put spread
Sell put spread to capture premium with defined risk below support.
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if spot breaks $110.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-31 $105.00/$95.00 put wing and $129.00/$138.00 call wing
Sell put and call spreads around current price to collect premium.
Mgmt: Adjust if spot approaches either short strike, take profit at 50%.
#3Call credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $135.00/$150.00 call spread
Sell call spread to profit from capped upside and time decay.
Mgmt: Exit if spot reaches $123 or at 50% profit.
!High call skew indicates heavy call buying - potential vol expansion
!Gamma flip at $110 may accelerate spot moves
!Trending regime increases gamma squeeze risk