base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +1 VIX 16; override: Base confidence 6: high vol, bullish flow, spot at MP, but negative GEX.
Term structure: Contango: front low (expiry), then upward, normal forward vol pricing.
Spot vs MP: At
GEX regime: Trending ($-81.2M)
Gamma flip: ~$120.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 25,286 (6.6% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put floor $120 (25,286 OI); call wall $140-$170.
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-08-21 $125.00/$120.00 put wing and $130.00/$135.00 call wing
Sell credit spreads on both sides to capture theta and volatility contraction while keeping risk defined.
Mgmt: Exit at 50% of max gain or adjust wings if PLTR nears short strikes before expiration.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $125.00/$120.00 put spread
Sell put spread below support to collect premium with defined risk from short put leg.
Mgmt: Roll down if PLTR drops below $128 invalidation; close at 50% max gain.
!Gamma flip at $120: breach could accelerate downside.
!Dealer short gamma increases market impact of large orders.
!Max pain cluster at $128 for 0DTE.