Term structure: Front-end elevated; mild backwardation 2d; then flat to contango after 2 weeks
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-70.0M)
Gamma flip: ~$120.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 31,053 (7.7% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain pins: $138, $137, $137; call OI wall $140-$155; put floor $110-$120
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $125.00/$120.00 put wing and $135.00/$140.00 call wing
Sell put and call wings around expected range, profiting from IV contraction and time decay.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max profit or adjust wings if spot breaches $125/$135.
#2Covered call
Buy shares + sell 2026-06-18 $140.00 call
Buy stock and sell out-of-the-money call to collect premium.
Mgmt: Roll call if threatened; hold shares through earnings if desired.
#3Call calendar
Sell 2026-06-12 $140.00 call / buy 2026-07-17 $140.00 call
Sell short-term call and buy later expiry to capture time decay differential.
Mgmt: Monitor IV changes; roll if front-end IV spikes.
!Large negative dealer gamma (-$70M) increases sensitivity to spot moves
!Spot 5.8% below max pain ($138); potential rally toward pin
!Front-end IV spike near 2d expiry; watch for IV crush