thetaOwl

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $141.70EOD only
Max Pain
$142.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.21
2.3% from close
Price Gap
+0.30
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
78
High premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 4, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 4, 2026 close
PLTR Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 5, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bearish bias from negative gamma and spot below MP, but VIX support. See short-term bounce potential.

Confidence:
7 / 10
Base5 +2GEX -0.5MP +0.5VIX =7
Supports: Neg gamma, VIX>20, positive DEX
Conflicts: Spot below MP, mixed flow
📉Neg gamma amplifies downside; spot below $142 MP
📊VIX22 high vol; potential mean reversion

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
High from selloff QQQ-4.8%, VIX21.5
Gamma Regime
Trending
Short gamma -$3.2M, flip $120
Flow Regime
Mixed
Mixed; put buying vs +DEX
Spot vs Max Pain
Below
Spot $135.5, 4.6% below $142 MP
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Sharp selloff, support at $125, flip near

Price Range Forecast

Next 1 week
$127.83$143.23
Test $127.83 support; resist $143.23
Next 2 weeks
$125.03$146.03
Range $125-$146; flip at $120

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $142 (2026-06-05); $144 (2026-06-12); $130 (2026-06-18)
EM guardrails: 1w $127.83/$143.23
Support: $125.03 · $125.00
Resistance: $142.00 · $146.03
Gamma flip: ~$120.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 26,536 (11.5% below spot)
Structural: S $125, R $142/$143/$146

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $-3.2M

DEX: +92.3M shares

Gamma flip: ~$120 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 26,536 (11.5% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX -$3.2M short, flip $120; DEX +92M

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX21.5, elevated

Term structure: Backwardation; near-term elevated

Skew: Put skew high; sell puts at support

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium -$5.87M; calls dominate volume (P/C vol 0.76) and OI (P/C OI 0.87), while puts show concentrated buying for today's expiry.

Directional prints: 17.2 put 138 ITM 2026-06-05 — Vol 27.8k vs OI 2.1k (13.0x); likely opened bought; bearish positioning for today's expiry. 6.3 put 137 ITM 2026-06-05 — Vol 28.3k vs OI 3.8k (7.5x); likely opened bought; bearish. 5.4 put 136 ITM 2026-06-05 — Vol 16.5k vs OI 1.5k (10.8x); likely opened bought; bearish.

Unusual: 112.5 call 230 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 1.7k vs OI 211 (8.3x); IV 112.5%; deep OTM lottery buy; high risk speculation. 55.8 put 121 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 1.1k vs OI 150 (7.6x); IV 55.8%; OTM put buy; bearish tail risk. 48.8 call 138 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 8.2k vs OI 492 (16.6x); IV 48.8%; OTM call buy; bullish bet for next week.

Risks & Catalysts

!Macro selloff
!Gamma acceleration
!Event risk

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bear put spreadModerate
Buy 2026-08-21 $140.00/$125.00 put spread
Why now: Negative gamma and spot below MP suggest continued weakness; post-earnings uncertainty warrants protection.
Limited upside if stock rallies; max loss equals net debit.
Long putModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-08-21 $130.00 put
Why now: Flow shows put buying; high implied vol offers leveraged downside if stock falls.
Time decay and vol crush if stock holds; unlimited loss if short vol? Actually long put has max loss premium.

Top Plays

#1
Bear Put Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $140.00/$125.00 put spread
Buy $140/$125 put spread to profit from downside while limiting loss.
Why this play: Safer bearish play with defined risk; suits negative gamma and potential bounce.
Debit: $6.59-$8.06
Max loss: $8.06
BE: $131.94
Mgmt: Exit if stock breaks above $142 invalidation.
Traders seeking capped risk with bearish conviction.
#2
Long Put
Buy 2026-08-21 $130.00 put
Buy $130 put for high upside if stock falls sharply.
Why this play: Leveraged bearish bet; flow confirms put buying; high implied vol.
Debit: $9.59-$11.72
Max loss: $11.72
BE: $118.28
Mgmt: Set stop-loss at $142; take profits on sharp drops.
Aggressive traders comfortable with higher risk.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFIF PLTR breaks below $125 support on volumeTHEN buy 1 PLTR 2026-08-21 $140/$125 bear put spread at limit price $7.33 (mid of range)
IFIF PLTR breaks below $125 support with put flow accelerationTHEN buy 1 PLTR 2026-08-21 $130 put at limit price $10.66 (mid of range)
Exit Triggers
EXITIF PLTR reclaims $142THEN exit all bearish positions (bear put spread and long put) at market

Tactical Summary

PLTR bearish bias from negative gamma and spot below MP, but VIX support suggests short-term bounce potential. Key support $125; break below triggers bearish entries (bear put spread or long put). Invalidation at $142. Manage risk on macro selloff or gamma acceleration.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 5, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.