PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.Close $141.70EOD onlyThis page reflects PLTR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bearish bias from negative gamma and spot below MP, but VIX support. See short-term bounce potential.
Conflicts: Spot below MP, mixed flow
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $-3.2M
DEX: +92.3M shares
Gamma flip: ~$120 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 26,536 (11.5% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX -$3.2M short, flip $120; DEX +92M
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX21.5, elevated
Term structure: Backwardation; near-term elevated
Skew: Put skew high; sell puts at support
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium -$5.87M; calls dominate volume (P/C vol 0.76) and OI (P/C OI 0.87), while puts show concentrated buying for today's expiry.
Directional prints: 17.2 put 138 ITM 2026-06-05 — Vol 27.8k vs OI 2.1k (13.0x); likely opened bought; bearish positioning for today's expiry. 6.3 put 137 ITM 2026-06-05 — Vol 28.3k vs OI 3.8k (7.5x); likely opened bought; bearish. 5.4 put 136 ITM 2026-06-05 — Vol 16.5k vs OI 1.5k (10.8x); likely opened bought; bearish.
Unusual: 112.5 call 230 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 1.7k vs OI 211 (8.3x); IV 112.5%; deep OTM lottery buy; high risk speculation. 55.8 put 121 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 1.1k vs OI 150 (7.6x); IV 55.8%; OTM put buy; bearish tail risk. 48.8 call 138 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 8.2k vs OI 492 (16.6x); IV 48.8%; OTM call buy; bullish bet for next week.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear put spread | Moderate | Buy 2026-08-21 $140.00/$125.00 put spread Why now: Negative gamma and spot below MP suggest continued weakness; post-earnings uncertainty warrants protection. | Limited upside if stock rallies; max loss equals net debit. |
| Long put | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $130.00 put Why now: Flow shows put buying; high implied vol offers leveraged downside if stock falls. | Time decay and vol crush if stock holds; unlimited loss if short vol? Actually long put has max loss premium. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.