thetaOwl

NOK

Nokia Corporation SponsoredClose $13.01EOD only
Max Pain
$14.00
Next expiry Jul 2, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.95
7.3% from close
Price Gap
+0.99
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
58
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.32
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NOK options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 26, 2026 close
NOK Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 29, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put credit spread
Invalidation: Spot closes below $12 gamma flip
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.5% from MP; +1 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV 87.6% >> VIX 17.7
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front near 70%, back ~73%, spike to 85.8% at Jul24 expiry.

💰Rich premiums with avg IV 87.6%
⚠️Gamma flip at $12; break below risks sell-off

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Pinning ($+111.1M)

Gamma flip: ~$12.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 50,344 (7.9% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI floor at $12, call OI wall $14-$19. Put/Call OI ratio 0.31.

Verdict: Bullish pinning toward max pain $14 (Jul2/10) and $13 (Jul17).

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-31 $13.00/$12.00 put spread
Sell $13/$12 put spread, high IV, max pain at $13
Credit: $0.46-$0.57
Max loss: $0.43
BE: $12.43
Mgmt: Close before Jul24 event or if spot nears $12
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-31 $13.00/$12.00 put wing and $14.00/$16.00 call wing
Sell put spread $13/$12 and call spread $14/$16, non-directional
Credit: $0.88-$1.08
Max loss: $0.92
BE: 11.92 / 15.08
Mgmt: Manage wings if volatility spikes

Risk Alerts

!Volatility compression risk if VIX drops
!Event risk at Jul24 expiry
!Spot below $12 invalidates bullish thesis
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 29, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.