base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.7% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Term structure: 0 DTE OTM call IV 122.5%, steep front-end skew; backend ~80%
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+220.9M)
Gamma flip: ~$14.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 55,736 (5.4% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put floor $14 (55.7K OI); call wall $17-$20
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $13.00/$11.00 put wing and $18.00/$20.00 call wing
Sells both put and call wings to collect elevated premium, betting on rangebound price.
Mgmt: Exit if price breaks below $12 or above $18, or collect 50% max profit.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $12.00/$11.00 put spread
Sells put spread to collect premium, bearish but defined downside.
Mgmt: Close if price falls below $14 invalidation level; take profit at 50% max gain.
#3Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-10 $17.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $18.00 call
Sells short-term call, buys longer-term call to capture volatility crush after earnings.
Mgmt: Close if price drops below $14; adjust if front-month option becomes ATM.