thetaOwl

NOK

Nokia Corporation SponsoredClose $14.80EOD only
Max Pain
$13.50
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.21
8.2% from close
Price Gap
-1.30
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
95
High premium
P/C OI
0.32
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NOK options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
NOK Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

NOK bullish; dealer gamma & flow support; targets $15 (1w), $16.66 (2w). High vol caution.

Confidence:
8 / 10
Base5 +2 GEX/flow +1 gamma -1 spot far +1 VIX =8
Supports: Bullish flow, gamma, above MP, VIX stable
Conflicts: High vol, spot far, gamma flip close
📈Bullish flow & gamma
⚠️High vol caution
📌Gamma flip at $14 support

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
IV high vs HV; VIX 18 supports
Gamma Regime
Pinning
GEX +221M, positive pinning $14
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish flow, call-heavy
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Spot $14.72, 5.7% above MP $14
Thesis duration: Multi-week — Bullish flow & gamma support; high vol event risk

Price Range Forecast

Next 1 week
$13.59$16.01
Target $15
Next 2 weeks
$12.94$16.66
Breakout $16.66

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $14 (2026-06-12); $14 (2026-06-18); $14 (2026-06-26)
EM guardrails: 1w $13.59/$16.01
Support: $14.00 · $12.94
Resistance: $15.00 · $16.66
Gamma flip: ~$14.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 55,736 (5.4% below spot)
Structural: Max pain $14; gamma flip ~$14; support $12.94; resistance $15/$16.66

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+220.9M

DEX: +149.3M shares

Gamma flip: ~$14 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 55,736 (5.4% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX+$221M; DEX+149M; gamma flip $14

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX18; elevated

Term structure: Contango; near-term higher

Skew: Put skew high; sell put spreads

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium positive $24M, low P/C vol ratio 0.36, but unusual put buying and closing call activity temper bullishness.

Directional prints: 92.7 call 17 OTM 2026-07-24 — Vol/OI 12.6, new bullish positioning likely bought, upside speculation. 75 put 14 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 10.4, heavy put buying, possibly hedging or bearish bet. 91.3 call 25 OTM 2026-11-20 — Vol/OI 8.5, long-dated call buying, bullish on further upside.

Unusual: 92.7 call 17 OTM 2026-07-24 — Vol/OI 12.6 vs OI 358, extreme; likely aggressive bought. 75 put 14 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 10.4, unusual put activity; possibly protective. 21.9 call 15 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol 96779, OI 15180, expiring ITM? Last 0.01, likely closing.

Risks & Catalysts

!Drop via $14 flip
!Vol expansion risk
!Flow shift risk

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-06-26 $15.00/$15.50 call spread
Why now: Bull call spread captures upside with defined risk, aligns with flow and short-term targets.
If stock moves lower or stays flat, debit is lost. High IV may overprice upside.
Put credit spreadModerate
Sell 2026-06-26 $14.00/$13.50 put spread
Why now: Credit spread collects premium with defined risk, benefits from bullish bias and low vol.
If stock drops below short put strike, max loss occurs. Vol expansion hurts.

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-06-26 $15.00/$15.50 call spread
Buy $15/$15.50 call spread for bullish move.
Why this play: Captures upside with defined risk, aligns with flow and short-term targets.
Debit: $0.18-$0.22
Max loss: $0.22
BE: $15.22
Mgmt: Exit near $15.50 target; stop if <$14.
Traders seeking upside with limited risk.
#2
Put Credit Spread
Sell 2026-06-26 $14.00/$13.50 put spread
Sell $14/$13.50 put spread for premium.
Why this play: Collects premium with defined risk, benefits from bullish bias.
Credit: $0.14-$0.18
Max loss: $0.32
BE: $13.82
Mgmt: Manage near expiration; stop if <$14.
Traders comfortable with bullish stance wanting income.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFIF stock price holds above $14 and below $15 (first resistance)THEN buy 2026-06-26 $15/$15.50 call spread at limit (0.18-0.22)
IFIF stock price remains above $14 (gamma flip level)THEN sell 2026-06-26 $14/$13.50 put spread at credit (0.14-0.18)
Exit Triggers
EXITIF stock price reaches $15.50 (call spread target)THEN exit bull call spread for max gain or near target
EXITIF stock price drops below $14 (invalidation level)THEN exit both spreads (bull call and put credit) to limit losses

Tactical Summary

NOK bullish bias from dealer gamma/flow. Key support $14, resistance $15/$16.66. Multi-week upside targets. Trade bull call spread or put credit spread with defined risk. High vol caution.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.