NOK
Nokia Corporation SponsoredClose $14.38EOD onlyThis page reflects NOK options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
NOK is poised for a rally toward $15-$16 driven by bullish flow and positive dealer gamma pinning, despite high vol and spot below MP. Key support at $14, resistance at $15.5 and $16.7.
Conflicts: Spot below MP, high vol, gamma flip risk at $14.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+158.0M
DEX: +143.7M shares
Gamma flip: ~$14 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 54,781 (4.0% below spot))
NTM gamma: Dealer gamma +$158M, DEX +143.7M shares; gamma flip at ~$14; positive gamma provides pinning near $14-$16 zone.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: Ticker IV rich vs VIX 19; implied vol elevated suggesting event premium.
Term structure: Likely backwardation due to near-term expiration; check skew.
Skew: Put skew elevated, but positive dealer gamma may cap downside; consider call spreads.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium strongly positive ($40.7M) with put/call volume ratio at 0.12, reflecting heavy call buying.
Directional prints: 85.2 call 15 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 4.2; aggressive call buying likely bought-to-open for upside exposure. 88.3 call 16 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 3.2; similar call buying, targeting further upside. 98.4 call 17.5 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 2.7; deep OTM call buying, speculative upside bet.
Unusual: 82.9 put 18 ITM 2026-07-17 — Vol/OI 2.9; ITM put buying amid heavy call flow, possible hedge or bearish bet. 107.6 call 34 OTM 2026-09-18 — Vol/OI 1.6; extremely OTM call, high IV, unusual long-dated bullish speculation. 95.4 call 31 OTM 2027-01-15 — Vol/OI 1.6; similar extreme OTM call, indicating far out-of-money buying.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $15.00/$16.00 call spread Why now: Bullish bias with defined risk; positive flow and strong net premium support upside. | Max loss = debit paid; stock fails to rally above $15. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-08-21 $14.00/$13.00 put spread Why now: Bullish-neutral defined-risk premium sale; high put/call ratio indicates call dominance. | Max loss = strike difference minus credit; stock breaks below $14. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
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These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.