thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $81.41EOD only
Max Pain
$84.00
Next expiry Jun 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.10
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+2.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
53
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.81
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
NFLX Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short vertical spreads
Invalidation: Spot breach of $75 gamma flip or IV collapse below 40%
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 spot 1.2% from MP

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV 53% vs VIX 22%; elevated
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Steep: front 30.8%, 8d event spike (125c/210p), then normal contango

⚠️Event risk on 6/18 expiration drives extreme IV in weekly; avoid naked positions

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Trending ($-23.0M)

Gamma flip: ~$75.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 68,043 (8.5% below spot)

OI concentrations: Call wall $90-$120; put floor $73-$75; max pain pins $83 (6/12), $89 (6/18), $85 (6/26)

Verdict: Multiple pin levels near spot; put floor provides support but gamma flip at $75 is key risk

Premium Opportunities

#1
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $80.00/$75.00 put wing and $85.00/$90.00 call wing
Captures elevated IV premium with defined risk via put and call wings.
Credit: $2.81-$3.43
Max loss: $1.57
BE: 76.57 / 88.43
Mgmt: Monitor $75 gamma flip and IV below 40%; exit if invalidation occurs.

Risk Alerts

!Negative dealer gamma (-$23M) amplifies spot moves
!Event volatility on 6/18 expiration: extreme IV and potential gap risk
!Gamma flip at $75 could trigger accelerated selloff
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.