thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $82.18EOD only
Max Pain
$85.00
Next expiry Jun 12, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.88
3.5% from close
Price Gap
+2.82
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
41
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.77
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
3.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 5, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 5, 2026 close
NFLX Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Short premium
Invalidation: Spot breaks above $90 or below $75
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 spot 1.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV 51.7% vs VIX 18.9% - elevated implied vol
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front-month IV elevated with put skew on Jun18 (put IV 203%) - event risk

⚠️High put IV skew on Jun18 expiry - event risk
📉Negative dealer gamma -$6.4M

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Trending ($-6.4M)

Gamma flip: ~$75.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 67,151 (9.2% below spot)

OI concentrations: Call wall $90-$120; put floor $73-$75; max pain $84, $90, $86

Verdict: Negative dealer gamma increases pin risk near $84

Premium Opportunities

#1
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-10 $83.00/$78.00 put wing and $85.00/$90.00 call wing
Sell put wing $83/$78 and call wing $85/$90 on 7/10 expiry. Max gain $3.51, max loss $1.49.
Credit: $2.87-$3.51
Max loss: $1.49
BE: 79.49 / 88.51
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if spot breaks $90 or $75.
#2
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-10 $82.00/$80.00 put spread
Sell $82/$80 put spread for $0.90 credit, max loss $1.10.
Credit: $0.74-$0.90
Max loss: $1.10
BE: $81.10
Mgmt: Exit at 50% profit or if spot falls below $78.

Risk Alerts

!Elevated IV in Jun18 expiry - watch for event risk
!Negative dealer gamma increases tail risk for premium sellers
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.