base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Front-end IV elevated (earnings), back-month contango, declining to 89%
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Pinning ($+5.8M)
OI concentrations: Max pain $295 (Jun26), $275 (Jul2), $280 (Jul10); call wall $320, put floor $150-$175
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $270.00/$260.00 put spread
Sells put spread to capture elevated premium with bullish bias, leveraging high IV.
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if spot breaks invalidation. Monitor IV.
#2Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-24 $260.00 cash-secured put
Sells put to collect premium and potentially buy stock at discount if assigned.
Mgmt: Roll if spot approaches strike early; assignment favorable below invalidation.
#3Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-24 $270.00/$260.00 put wing and $280.00/$300.00 call wing
Sells both sides to capture theta, expecting pinning near current levels.
Mgmt: Manage wings if spot exceeds 280 or drops below 260; close at 50% max gain.
!High IV skew (put IV > call IV) indicates downside fear
!Earnings event on Jun26 creates crash risk
!Dealer hedging may amplify moves due to pinning gamma