META
Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $584.59EOD onlyThis page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Near-term bearish bias as spot trades below max pain ($605-$600) under high vol regime, but dealer long gamma ($+6.2M) provides pinning support. Neutral over 1-2 weeks as range-bound dynamics emerge. Confidence 5.0 neutral.
Conflicts: High vol regime, mixed flow, spot below max pain.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+6.2M
DEX: +63.5M shares
Gamma flip: N/A
NTM gamma: GEX +6.2M (positive), dealers long gamma providing pinning. DEX +63.5M shares, overall long exposure.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: Ticker IV likely rich vs VIX ~20 given high vol regime; premium reflects event risk.
Term structure: Expect contango with kinks around event dates (Jun10, Jun12, Jun15) as uncertainty declines post-event.
Skew: Put skew elevated; selling out-of-the-money puts may capitalize on pinning if bullish on support.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium -$5.2M with P/C vol ratio 0.64; bearish bias from put buying outweighs call buying.
Directional prints: 30.1 call 600 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol 21,284 vs OI 1,343 (15.8x); likely sold given net premium negative, bearish positioning. 30.9 put 570 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol 7,243 vs OI 575 (12.6x); OTM put buying, bearish hedge or speculative short. 32.4 put 592.5 ITM 2026-06-10 — Vol 2,033 vs OI 112 (18.1x); ITM put buying, bearish sentiment; likely opening.
Unusual: 29.8 call 597.5 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol/OI 25.7x (6,615 vs 257); extreme ratio, OTM call activity likely sold given net premium negative. 29.7 call 595 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol/OI 24.0x (8,898 vs 371); very high, OTM calls likely sold, aligning with bearish bias. 29.2 put 575 OTM 2026-06-10 — Vol/OI 18.9x (6,041 vs 320); OTM put buying, bearish hedge.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear put spread | Moderate-Weak | Buy 2026-06-26 $592.50/$570.00 put spread Why now: Net premium negative, bearish flow; bear put spread captures defined risk downside with support zone at 580. | Vol spike if spot breaks support; gamma flip risk on sharp move. Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-07-02 $565.00/$545.00 put spread Why now: Bias neutral over 1-2 weeks; high IV beneficial for premium sale; defined risk below 560 support. | Unexpected bearish breakout below support; vol contraction may reduce premium. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.