thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $610.26EOD only
Max Pain
$602.50
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.07
1.5% from close
Price Gap
-7.76
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
META Directional Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish: flow bullish, GEX positive pinning near $608, low VIX. Upside to $645 resistance.

Confidence:
9 / 10
GEX/flow aligned +2, pinning +1, near MP +1, low VIX +1, base 5 = 9.
Supports: Bullish flow, positive GEX, pinning, low VIX.
Conflicts: Resistance $645, gamma flip $500.
📈Bullish flow; GEX +$179.5M
📍Pinning near $608 MP
🌀VIX 17 supports

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
Normal IV, no stress.
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Positive GEX $179.5M, pinning near $608.
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish net premium.
Spot vs Max Pain
At
Spot at $608 MP, pinning.
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Max pain pins near expiry.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$605.59$619.09
2d: $605-$619, bias up.
Next 1 week
$595.02$629.67
1w: $595-$629, bias up.
Next 2 weeks
$579.59$645.09
2w: $579-$645, bias up.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $608 (2026-05-26); $600 (2026-05-27); $610 (2026-05-29)
EM guardrails: 2d $605.59/$619.09; 1w $595.02/$629.67
Support: $607.50 · $579.59
Resistance: $645.09
Gamma flip: ~$500.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,216 (18.3% below spot)
Structural: Support $607.5/$579.6, resistance $645, gamma flip $500.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+179.5M

DEX: +59.2M shares

Gamma flip: ~$500 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,216 (18.3% below spot))

NTM gamma: Dealer long gamma $179.5M, long delta 59.2M; gamma flip ~$500.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV in line with VIX 17.

Term structure: Contango.

Skew: Put skew modest; no trade.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium positive $154.5M with P/C ratio 0.42, indicating strong bullish call flow.

Directional prints: 20.9 call 607.5 ITM 2026-05-26 — Volume 34,623 vs OI 701 (vol/OI 49): aggressive buying, likely opening new positions for upside. 19.4 call 610 ITM 2026-05-27 — Volume 5,715 vs OI 264 (vol/OI 22): fresh call buying for tomorrow's expiration. 19 call 612.5 OTM 2026-05-27 — Volume 3,092 vs OI 225 (vol/OI 14): call accumulation near resistance.

Unusual: 20.9 call 607.5 ITM 2026-05-26 — Vol/OI 49x, highest ratio; massive new buying. IV 20.9% elevated. 21 call 622.5 OTM 2026-05-27 — Vol/OI 20x, high vol for OTM call. Speculative upside bet. 9.8 put 605 OTM 2026-05-26 — Vol 11,300 vs OI 658 (vol/OI 17): large put selling or closing; low IV suggests bearish hedge unwinding.

Risks & Catalysts

!Gamma flip sub-$500
!Resistance $645
!Macro/earnings risk

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadStrong
Buy 2026-08-21 $630.00/$700.00 call spread
Why now: Capture defined risk upside; 620/635 spread aligns with resistance.
Upside capped at $635; max loss if below $620.
Put credit spreadModerate-Strong
Sell 2026-08-21 $560.00/$520.00 put spread
Why now: Sell put at 600, buy put at 590 to collect premium with defined risk.
Risk if META drops below $590.
Long callModerate
Buy 2026-08-21 $680.00 call
Why now: Flow shows aggressive call buying; 625 call offers convexity.
Time decay if META stalls; max loss is premium paid.

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-08-21 $630.00/$700.00 call spread
Buy $630/$700 call spread to profit from upside while capping risk.
Why this play: Defined risk upside play aligning with $645 resistance; captures rally with limited loss.
Debit: $19.04-$23.27
Max loss: $23.27
BE: $653.27
Mgmt: Exit if META breaks below $607.5 invalidation; take profit near $645.
Traders seeking defined risk bullish exposure.
#2
Long Call
Buy 2026-08-21 $680.00 call
Buy $680 call to leverage upside convexity; high reward but higher risk.
Why this play: Direct bullish bet following aggressive call flow; unlimited upside potential.
Debit: $19.67-$24.04
Max loss: $24.04
BE: $704.04
Mgmt: Set stop loss if META drops below $607.5; trail stops above $645.
Aggressive traders seeking maximum upside.
#3
Put Credit Spread
Sell 2026-08-21 $560.00/$520.00 put spread
Sell $560 put, buy $520 put to profit from theta and bullish bias.
Why this play: Collects premium on bullish view with defined risk; less direct but steady.
Credit: $8.73-$10.67
Max loss: $29.33
BE: $549.33
Mgmt: Close if META approaches $560; manage early to avoid gamma.
Conservative traders wanting premium income with defined risk.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFIF META holds above $607.5 supportBuy 2026-08-21 $630/$700 call spread (meta_bull_call_01)
IFIF META breaks above $645 resistanceBuy 2026-08-21 $680 call (meta_long_call_01)
IFIF META remains above $607.5Sell 2026-08-21 $560/$520 put spread (meta_put_credit_01)
Exit Triggers
EXITIF META breaks below $607.5Exit all bullish positions

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias, support at $607.5, resistance at $645. Ranked plays: bull call spread targeting $645, long call for convexity, put credit spread for premium. Invalidation below $607.5.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.