thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $612.34EOD only
Max Pain
$600.00
Next expiry May 27, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.75
1.1% from close
Price Gap
-12.34
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
39
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
META Directional Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 6, 2026. A newer directional report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Outlook

Neutral with upside magnet to $595. Confidence: 5.5/10. GEX +$36.9M pins near spot, but net premium -$117.1M and mixed flow signal institutional selling. Spot above max pain adds gravity.

Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 GEX/flow contradict; +0.5 spot 1.9% from MP
Supports: GEX +$36.9M (pinning), near-term put OI clusters $520-$555, max pain $562-$572
Conflicts: Net premium -$117.1M bearish, P/C vol 0.84 neutral, spot above MP
📌GEX pinning near $575-$595
💸Net premium -$117.1M signals institutional selling

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
IV 46.5% vs VIX N/A — normal vol regime
Gamma Regime
Pinning
GEX +$36.9M concentrated near spot, pinning regime
Flow Regime
Mixed
Net prem -$117.1M with P/C 0.84, mixed flow regime
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Spot $573.02 above MP $562-$572
Thesis duration: Multi-week — Max pain ladder flat ~$562 across expirations, GEX sign stable positive, flow regime consistent

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$559.27$586.77
GEX pinning dominates; <$559.27 invalidates
Next 1 week
$550.97$595.07
Pin release widens range; >$595.07 breaks resistance
Next 2 weeks
$535.70$610.35
Flow supports drift; <$535.70 breaks support

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $562 (2026-04-06); $570 (2026-04-08); $572 (2026-04-10)
EM guardrails: 2d $559.27/$586.77; 1w $550.97/$595.07
Support: $560.00 · $555.00 · $550.00
Resistance: $595.00 · $600.00 · $610.00
Gamma flip: ~$500.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,134 (12.7% below spot)
Structural: Call OI wall $700-$800 caps upside; put floor $500-$500 distant

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+36.9M

DEX: +61.6M shares

Gamma flip: ~$500 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,134 (12.7% below spot))

NTM gamma: Call gamma $595/$585; put gamma $555/$560

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV 46.5% vs VIX N/A — no comparison

Term structure: Humped — 4/8 41.8% > 4/13 36.4% > 5/1 46.8%

Skew: 4/8 vs 4/13 ~5.4 vol-pt differential

Flow Analysis

Net premium: -$117.1M bearish; P/C vol 0.84 neutral

Directional prints: put 575 ITM 2026-04-08 — vol 7,119 vs OI 120 (59.3x) — likely sold for premium call 580 OTM 2026-04-08 — vol 6,171 vs OI 247 (25.0x) — likely bought for upside

Unusual: 44.2 put 552.5 OTM 2026-04-10 — vol 6,474 vs OI 167 (38.8x) — likely sold for premium

Risks & Catalysts

!Gamma flip ~$500 distant but break <$560 accelerates selling
!Earnings 4/29 adds vol risk
!Net premium -$117.1M signals institutional selling pressure
!VIX unknown adds macro uncertainty

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Iron condorModerate
$555/$560P x $595/$600C 4/13
GEX positive but VIX unknown
CSP / put spreadModerate-Strong
Sell $560/$555 put spread 4/13
Break <$555
Long callsModerate-Weak
Buy $595 call 4/13
IV 36.4% high, pinning resistance
Long puts / bear put spreadsWeak
Avoid
GEX positive, net premium bearish but pinning dominates
Calendar/diagonalModerate-Strong
Sell 4/8 $595 call (IV 39.9%), buy 4/13 $595 call (IV 34.2%)
Pin holds, +5.7pt vol edge
PMCC / LEAPS diagonalModerate
Buy 2027-03-19 $500 call, sell 4/13 $595 call
Long-dated IV 41.0% high
Covered callModerate-Strong
Sell $595 call 4/13
Upside capped at resistance
Cash-secured put / put spreadModerate-Strong
Sell $560 put 4/13
Break <$560
Long stockModerate
Buy shares
Net premium bearish
Short stockWeak
Avoid
GEX positive pinning

Top Plays

#1
Put Spread
Sell $560/$555 put spread 4/13
Defined-risk premium below pin with GEX support.
Credit: $0.80-$1.20
Max loss: $4.20
BE: $559.20
Mgmt: Close at 60-70% max profit; stop if spot <$555.
Defined-risk premium collection near support.
#2
Calendar Spread
Sell 4/8 $595 call, buy 4/13 $595 call
Sell high IV near-term, buy lower IV farther out for +5.7pt edge.
Credit: $0.15-$0.25
Max loss: $2.00
BE: N/A
Mgmt: Close when near-term expires; adjust if spot >$600.
Vol decay capture with pinning upside.
#3
Covered Call
Sell $595 call 4/13
Generate income with upside capped at resistance; extra time improves premium vs weekly.
Credit: $2.86-$3.35
Max loss: unlimited
BE: N/A
Mgmt: Roll up/out if spot approaches $595; take profit at 50%.
Shareholders wanting income with defined exit.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFSpot tags $560, holds 30 minSell $560/$555 put spread 4/13
IFSpot tags $595, IV >40%Sell $595 call 4/13
Exit Triggers
EXITSpot <$555, volume spikesExit all short premium positions
EXITSpot >$610, breaks EM boundTake profit on covered calls

Tactical Summary

Neutral pinning with upside magnet to $595. Invalidation: <$555. Regime favors short premium near support. Top plays: put spread for defined risk, calendar for vol edge, covered call for shareholders.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.