META
Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $612.34EOD onlyThis page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
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You are viewing an older report from April 6, 2026. A newer directional report is available for May 26, 2026.
View latest reportOutlook
Neutral with upside magnet to $595. Confidence: 5.5/10. GEX +$36.9M pins near spot, but net premium -$117.1M and mixed flow signal institutional selling. Spot above max pain adds gravity.
Conflicts: Net premium -$117.1M bearish, P/C vol 0.84 neutral, spot above MP
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+36.9M
DEX: +61.6M shares
Gamma flip: ~$500 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,134 (12.7% below spot))
NTM gamma: Call gamma $595/$585; put gamma $555/$560
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV 46.5% vs VIX N/A — no comparison
Term structure: Humped — 4/8 41.8% > 4/13 36.4% > 5/1 46.8%
Skew: 4/8 vs 4/13 ~5.4 vol-pt differential
Flow Analysis
Net premium: -$117.1M bearish; P/C vol 0.84 neutral
Directional prints: put 575 ITM 2026-04-08 — vol 7,119 vs OI 120 (59.3x) — likely sold for premium call 580 OTM 2026-04-08 — vol 6,171 vs OI 247 (25.0x) — likely bought for upside
Unusual: 44.2 put 552.5 OTM 2026-04-10 — vol 6,474 vs OI 167 (38.8x) — likely sold for premium
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iron condor | Moderate | $555/$560P x $595/$600C 4/13 | GEX positive but VIX unknown |
| CSP / put spread | Moderate-Strong | Sell $560/$555 put spread 4/13 | Break <$555 |
| Long calls | Moderate-Weak | Buy $595 call 4/13 | IV 36.4% high, pinning resistance |
| Long puts / bear put spreads | Weak | Avoid | GEX positive, net premium bearish but pinning dominates |
| Calendar/diagonal | Moderate-Strong | Sell 4/8 $595 call (IV 39.9%), buy 4/13 $595 call (IV 34.2%) | Pin holds, +5.7pt vol edge |
| PMCC / LEAPS diagonal | Moderate | Buy 2027-03-19 $500 call, sell 4/13 $595 call | Long-dated IV 41.0% high |
| Covered call | Moderate-Strong | Sell $595 call 4/13 | Upside capped at resistance |
| Cash-secured put / put spread | Moderate-Strong | Sell $560 put 4/13 | Break <$560 |
| Long stock | Moderate | Buy shares | Net premium bearish |
| Short stock | Weak | Avoid | GEX positive pinning |
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Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
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