base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.3% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Front-end high (85.85% at 2DTE), declining to 77.27% at 16d, slight inversion in weeklies, contango later.
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+4.2M)
Gamma flip: ~$340.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 22,668 (9.3% below spot)
OI concentrations: Max pain $370 (2d), $350 (weekly); call wall $400-460; put floor $240-340; gamma flip $340.
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-31 $325.00/$295.00 put wing and $460.00/$510.00 call wing
Sells OTM put and call wings to collect rich premium.
Mgmt: Close at 50% max gain or before earnings. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Volume below 5.; long_put: Volume below 5.; short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Wide spread (54%).
#2Put calendar
Sell 2026-07-17 $340.00 put / buy 2026-08-21 $340.00 put
Sells front put, buys back put to capitalize on vol normalization.
Mgmt: Monitor $370 pin; roll if spot approaches.
#3Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-24 $430.00 call / buy 2026-09-18 $330.00 call
Sells near call, buys deep call for short-term premium with long-term upside.
Mgmt: Adjust if stock breaks above $400. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Volume below 5.; long_call: Volume below 5.
!High IV (83.5%) vs VIX (18.6) may revert.
!Pinning at $370 could cause sharp moves.
!Put/call OI ratio 1.07 imbalance.