thetaOwl

IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETFClose $295.32EOD only
Max Pain
$295.00
Next expiry Jun 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.39
1.1% from close
Price Gap
-0.32
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
2
Low premium
P/C OI
2.63
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects IWM options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
IWM Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Aggressive
Primary: Short Call Spread
Invalidation: Break above $302 or below $290
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV elevated vs VIX (27.1% vs 18.6%)
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term put skew extreme; term structure flat beyond 30 days.

⚠️Near-dated put IV at 25% vs ATM 5% signals extreme bearish demand; premium sellers can capture high decay but face pin risk.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Trending ($-386.2M)

Gamma flip: ~$290.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 129,018 (2.3% below spot)

OI concentrations: OI heavily concentrated at $295 strike across near-term expiries.

Verdict: High pin risk at $295; spot near max pain; gamma flip at $290 suggests potential for sharp move if broken.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Call credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $300.00/$304.00 call spread
Sell $300/$304 call spread, capture elevated IV.
Credit: $1.67-$2.05
Max loss: $1.95
BE: $302.05
Mgmt: Stop at $308.23; close at 50% max gain.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $290.00/$288.00 put wing and $300.00/$304.00 call wing
Sell $290/$288 put and $300/$304 call spread.
Credit: $2.15-$2.63
Max loss: $1.37
BE: 287.37 / 302.63
Mgmt: Adjust if spot breaks $290 or $302.

Risk Alerts

!Bearish flow and elevated put/call ratios signal downside risk.
!Near-term put IV spike may lead to rapid decay if spot stabilizes.
!Gamma flip at $290 suggests potential for sharp move if broken.
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.