base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Steep near-term put vols (2–16d) >> calls; longer-term vols mixed
Spot vs MP: At
GEX regime: Pinning ($+486.9M)
Gamma flip: ~$78.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 393,312 (3.1% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI clustered at $80 (~3.1% below spot); gamma flip ≈ $78
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-18 $79.00/$63.00 put spread
Sell 2026-06-18 79/63 put spread to collect premium with capped loss; expresses premium selling edge while limiting tail risk.
Mgmt: Close or roll if HYG closes below 80 or IV spikes; trim on VIX>25 or rapid skew steepening. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Open interest below 25.
#2Covered call
Buy shares + sell 2026-06-18 $89.00 call
Buy shares and sell 2026-06-18 89 call to earn carry and partial downside cushion from premium.
Mgmt: Buy back calls or roll up if HYG rallies toward 89; cut equity if spot breaches 78 with rising IV. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Open interest below 25.
!Spot breach < $78 with rising IV/dealer buyback
!VIX spike >25 or rapid skew steepening
!Upcoming earnings/dividend/news within 7 days — stress: IV +50% or intraday spot gap >5%