thetaOwl

HYG

iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETFClose $80.35EOD only
Max Pain
$80.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.12
0.1% from close
Price Gap
-0.35
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
4.79
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HYG options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
HYG Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6.5 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put credit spreads near 79/77 OI support
Invalidation: Close below gamma flip ~$79
Confidence:
8.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime
Low
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 7.7% vs VIX 18.17 — IV is depressed relative to market
Favorable?
No

Term structure: Very low near-term IV (2026-04-17 ATM 5.0%, 2026-04-24 ATM 7.3%) with a bump in mid-month (2026-05-01 ATM 13.6%).

⚠️Low ATM IV (7.7%) compresses premium — collectable theta is limited
📌IV curve shows a mid-month vol pick-up (5/01 ATM 13.6%) — use calendars/diagonals to harvest the kink

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Trending ($-114.0M)

Gamma flip: ~$79.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 520,372 (1.8% below spot)

OI concentrations: Large put OI at $79.00 (520,372), $77.00 (418,401) and call OI cluster at $81.00 (210,305). Near-term GEX magnets at $81.00 (+$518.4M) and $80.50 (+$198.7M); max pain sits at $80.00 across front expirations.

Verdict: Threatening — negative total GEX (-$114.0M) and bearish flow mean dealers are net short gamma and positioning is trending; although large put OI and near-term GEX magnets around $80-$81 provide a short-term pin, the negative GEX increases tail risk and can threaten credit positions if price trends down through the ~79 gamma flip.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-05-15 $80.00/$69.00 put spread
Sell the 2026-05-15 80/69 put credit spread to collect credit while keeping a defined 11-point wing as protection; prefer moderate sizing and manage below the gamma flip ~$79.
Debit: $0.01-$0.01
Max loss: $11.00
BE: $80.00
Mgmt: Close at 50–65% of max profit; exit or convert to long-dated protection on daily close below ~$79 Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (61%).; long_put: Wide spread (196%).
#2
Put calendar
Sell 2026-04-24 $79.00 put / buy 2026-06-18 $79.00 put
Sell near-term puts into the 5/01 expiry and buy back-month puts to capture term-structure — strike selection around 78–79 to align with OI support.
Debit: $0.45-$0.54
Max loss: $0.54
BE: Path-dependent
Mgmt: Trim if IV collapses across both expiries or if price moves decisively through $79
#3
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-05-15 $79.00 cash-secured put
Sell cash-secured puts with 30–45 DTE targeting 0.20–0.30 delta around $77–$78; manage size given negative GEX.
Credit: $0.09-$0.12
Max loss: $78.88
BE: $78.88
Mgmt: Avoid selling into a close below gamma flip; scale into position and set buyback targets at 50% of collected premium Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (181%).

Risk Alerts

!Earnings/windows: 2026-04-17 (2d), 2026-04-24 (9d), 2026-05-01 (16d) — front expirations sit on earnings; avoid selling naked through these events.
!Negative total GEX (-$114.0M) and bearish net premium flow (-$9.7M) — trending regime increases risk of quick one-way moves against short premium.
!Low ATM IV (Avg IV 7.7%) — compressed premium limits edge for naked premium sellers; consider defined-risk structures or calendars.
!Gamma flip ~$79 — a close below this level can accelerate selling pressure and invalidate short put/condor theses.
!Large concentrated put OI at $79/$77/74 can pin short term but also concentrate assignment and liquidity risk if those levels are breached.

Read the Theta analysis for HYG for 2026-04-15. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.