base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.0% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Term structure: Near-term IV 32-33%, dip at 7DTE, then rise to 40%+; elevated versus historical
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+94.9M)
Gamma flip: ~$320.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 17,574 (9.5% below spot)
OI concentrations: Call wall $400-450, put floor $320, max pain $340-348
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-31 $340.00/$330.00 put spread
Sell 340/330 put spread to capture premium from elevated IV while pinning provides support.
Mgmt: Exit if underlying breaks below $340 or spikes above $374; adjust if IV contracts.
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-31 $340.00/$330.00 put wing and $370.00/$375.00 call wing
Sell 340/330 puts and 370/375 calls to profit from range-bound price action.
Mgmt: Manage if price approaches either short strike; close if volatility spikes.
!Pinning risk to max pain $340-348
!Elevated IV may contract quickly
!Gamma flip at $320
!Near-term expiration uncertainty