base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 2.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Term structure: Front-end: 1DTE ATM 32% with extreme skew; 7DTE spike (ATM 34%, call 77%, put 115%); longer-dated contango to 37%
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Pinning ($+18.6M)
OI concentrations: Max pain $365 for 1-6DTE; call wall $400-$500; put floor $215; no put concentration within 30% below spot
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $340.00/$335.00 put spread
Sell put spread to collect premium with defined risk.
Mgmt: Monitor support; close if break below $338.
#2Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-17 $370.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $365.00 call
Sell short-term call and buy later expiration call to profit from volatility crush.
Mgmt: Manage gamma risk near earnings; close after IV crush.
!Front-end IV spike on Jun18 expiration suggests potential binary event
!Spot 1.7% below max pain; upward drift likely
!Put/call volume ratio at 0.52 shows strong call demand
!Elevated VIX (19.44) above 15 indicates higher macro uncertainty