GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.Close $349.68EOD onlyThis page reflects GOOGL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Despite broad market weakness (QQQ -3.3%), GOOGL shows bullish flow and spot near max pain at $348, creating conflicting signals. Negative dealer gamma (-$1.5M) could amplify moves but near-term pin action likely holds range $340-351.69. Confidence is moderate at 6/10, supported by spot proximity to MP and VIX elevation, but weighed by GEX/flow contradiction. Thesis is event-specific through next week expiries.
Conflicts: Negative gamma; broad market selloff; bearish price action.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $-1.5M
DEX: +73.2M shares
Gamma flip: ~$320 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 17,449 (7.5% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX -$1.5M (short gamma), DEX +73.2M shares (long delta). Gamma flip ~$320 (put OI concentration 17,449).
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: GOOGL IV elevated vs VIX due to event-risk from multiple OI expiries; rich for short vol.
Term structure: Upward sloping with kinks near weekly expiries; near-term vol prices pin risk.
Skew: Skew steep on puts; selling OTM puts at $340 support captures premium.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium $45.3M positive, put/call vol ratio 0.5 indicates bullish flow.
Directional prints: 27.2 call 350 OTM 2026-06-24 — Vol 21348 vs OI 2880 (7.4x), aggressive buying for upside; likely bought.
Unusual: 27.7 call 347.5 OTM 2026-06-24 — Vol/OI 10.0x extreme, bullish buying. 26.4 put 342.5 OTM 2026-06-24 — Vol/OI 9.5x high, likely sold for bearish premium or hedge. 26.5 put 347.5 ITM 2026-06-24 — Vol/OI 9.0x, bearish put buying.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iron condor | Moderate | Sell 2026-07-24 $340.00/$335.00 put wing and $345.00/$350.00 call wing Why now: Range $340-351.69, elevated IV pre-earnings offers premium with defined risk. | Upside breakout or downside collapse beyond wings causes max loss. |
| Call credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-07-24 $345.00/$350.00 call spread Why now: Thesis neutral-bearish near term with range cap at $351.69, elevated IV for premium. | Break above short strike causes max loss; risk defined. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate-Weak | Sell 2026-07-24 $340.00/$335.00 put spread Why now: Bullish flow and max pain pin near $348 supports slight upside, premium collection. | Break below $340 brings accelerated selling due to dealer gamma. |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.