thetaOwl

GOOGL

Alphabet Inc.Close $359.68EOD only
Max Pain
$355.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.67
1.9% from close
Price Gap
-4.68
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.82
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GOOGL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
GOOGL Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer directional report is available for June 12, 2026.

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Outlook

Bullish bias: spot 2% below max pain $365, positive dealer gamma ($+18.6M GEX) and bullish flow support drift higher. Resistance at $365; break opens $376.92.

Confidence:
9 / 10
Base 9: +2 GEX/flow aligned, +1 pinning, +0.5 spot vs MP, +0.5 VIX 19
Supports: Strong GEX, bullish flow, pinning, normal vol
Conflicts: Resistance $365; limited upside if not broken
📊GEX +18.6M, gamma pinning near $365
📌Spot 2% below max pain, room to drift up
⚠️Resistance $365 key; failure could stall

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
Normal vol (VIX 19), GOOGL IV in line
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Positive GEX $+18.6M, pinning near $365, no flip risk
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish flow: call-heavy, net premium buying
Spot vs Max Pain
Below
Spot ~$358, 2% below max pain $365, supports upward grind
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Gamma pinning ties to weekly $365; multi-week uncertain due to resistance

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$351.35$364.18
Drift to $365, supported by gamma
Next 1 week
$345.12$370.42
Target $365-370, break opens $370.42
Next 2 weeks
$338.62$376.92
After pinning, range $338-377

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $365 (2026-06-12); $365 (2026-06-15); $360 (2026-06-17)
EM guardrails: 2d $351.35/$364.18; 1w $345.12/$370.42
Support: $338.62
Resistance: $365.00 · $376.92
Structural: Support $351.35 (2d), $345.12 (1w), $338.62 (2w). Resistance $365 (gamma pin), $376.92 (range high). Max pain $365.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+18.6M

DEX: +81.2M shares

Gamma flip: N/A

NTM gamma: Dealers long gamma ($+18.6M GEX, +81.2M shares DEX), hedge by buying dips/selling rips, stabilizing near $365.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: GOOGL IV in line with VIX 19, normal tech vol

Term structure: Flat to slight contango; weeklies event-pinned at $365

Skew: Call skew elevated; consider selling puts near support $351

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium +$197M, P/C vol ratio 0.52 (call heavy), OI ratio 0.87 neutral; overall bullish flow.

Directional prints: 44.1 call 350 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 67.4, massive new buying; likely bought for bullish momentum. Preferred read: long call. 39.6 call 355 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 27.8, strong new buying; bought as OTM upside bet. Preferred read: long call. 32.3 call 360 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 15.5, 22k vol vs 1.4k OI; bought for further upside. Preferred read: long call.

Unusual: 44.1 call 350 ITM 2026-06-12 — Extreme vol/OI 67.4, unusual concentration; likely bought, speculative. 39.6 call 355 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 27.8, high; new bullish positioning. Preferred read: long call. 32.8 call 357.5 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 26.4, notable; bought for upside. Preferred read: long call.

Risks & Catalysts

!Failure to break $365 could trigger pullback to $351
!Macro event may spike VIX, unwind gamma pinning
!Dealer hedging caps upside if spot stalls

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-06-26 $370.00/$380.00 call spread
Why now: Bull call spread captures upside with defined risk, aligns with 1-week bullish lean and resistance target.
Upside capped at $365; pullback if resistance holds.
Put credit spreadModerate
Sell 2026-06-26 $345.00/$335.00 put spread
Why now: Bullish flow and positive dealer gamma support near-term premium sale.
Break below short put strike increases loss.
Bullish risk reversalModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-08-21 $380.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $325.00 put
Why now: Earnings event suggests potential breakout; risk reversal finances a longer-dated call with put credit, suitable for 65-75 DTE window.
Unlimited downside if spot plunges; put sold obligates purchase.

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread
Buy 2026-06-26 $370.00/$380.00 call spread
Captures $370-$380 rally with limited risk.
Why this play: Best defined-risk play for near-term upside with clear resistance target.
Debit: $2.19-$2.68
Max loss: $2.68
BE: $372.68
Mgmt: Exit at 50% gain or if spot breaks below invalidation level.
Traders wanting high reward-to-risk on short-dated bullish view.
#2
Put Credit Spread
Sell 2026-06-26 $345.00/$335.00 put spread
Sells put spread below support to collect premium.
Why this play: High probability premium sale supported by bullish flow and gamma pinning.
Credit: $1.52-$1.85
Max loss: $8.15
BE: $343.15
Mgmt: Let expire worthless or close at 75% profit.
Income-focused traders with neutral-to-bullish outlook.
#3
Bullish Risk Reversal
Buy 2026-08-21 $380.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $325.00 put
Long call financed by short put for upside participation.
Why this play: Leveraged long exposure with zero cost if managed for earnings.
Debit: $5.47-$6.68
Max loss: $325.00
BE: $325.00
Mgmt: Roll or close before earnings to avoid binary event risk.
Aggressive traders expecting a large move post-earnings.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFIF spot breaks above $365 with volumeTHEN buy 2026-06-26 $370/$380 call spread
IFIF spot holds above $345 and bullish lean persistsTHEN sell 2026-06-26 $345/$335 put spread
IFIF spot approaches $365 with strong momentum ahead of earningsTHEN initiate 2026-08-21 $380 call/$325 put risk reversal
Exit Triggers
EXITIF spot breaks below $338.62THEN close all positions

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias, resistance $365. Prefer bull call spread or put credit spread near-term; risk reversal for earnings. Invalidation $338.62.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.