GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.Close $372.19EOD onlyThis page reflects GOOGL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bullish thesis driven by strong bullish flow and positive dealer gamma pinning near max pain. Spot above max pain and EM support, with VIX at 15.4 providing favorable vol environment. Confidence high.
Conflicts: Resistance at $384.22 (1w upper) and $400; gamma pinning could slow upside.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+145.6M
DEX: +83.7M shares
Gamma flip: N/A
NTM gamma: Dealer gamma long $+145.6M, delta long +83.7M shares. No gamma flip downside; heavy put OI absent within 30% below spot.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: GOOGL IV likely in line with VIX at 15.4, not rich or cheap; low vol regime favors long premium.
Term structure: Term structure likely flat to slightly backwardated; no clear event kinks; short-term expiries offer cheaper premium.
Skew: Skew neutral; no pronounced put/call skew; opportunity in short-dated calls due to bullish momentum.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net premium positive; put/call volume ratio 0.37 indicates heavy call bias.
Directional prints: 35.8 call 365 ITM 2026-06-05 — 5.0x vol/OI, 18.2k vol, likely bought, bullish bet before expiry. 32 call 372.5 OTM 2026-06-12 — 22.3x vol/OI, 3.5k vol, likely bought, aggressive bullish call. 33 call 382.5 OTM 2026-06-12 — 18.0x vol/OI, 3.9k vol, likely bought, bullish upside speculation.
Unusual: 32 call 372.5 OTM 2026-06-12 — 22.3x vol/OI, unusually high relative to OI, likely bought. 33 call 382.5 OTM 2026-06-12 — 18.0x vol/OI, unusually high relative to OI, likely bought. 26.7 call 377.5 OTM 2026-06-05 — 6.6x vol/OI, 6.7k vol, unusual volume for near-expiry call.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $410.00/$430.00 call spread Why now: Heavy call flow and bullish gamma support; low vol favorable for debit spread. | Max loss = net debit; time decay if rally delayed; capped upside at short strike. |
| Bullish risk reversal | Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $410.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $320.00 put Why now: Strong call flow and low vol environment; 2026-08-21 expiration captures earnings. | Short put exposure below strike; undefined loss if spot drops sharply. |
| Long call | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $420.00 call Why now: High conviction in bullish thesis; 2026-08-21 call provides leverage through earnings. | Total premium at risk if spot declines; theta accelerates post-earnings. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-08-21 $350.00/$345.00 put spread Why now: Spot above max pain; selling 350/347.5 put spread on 2026-08-21 to capture premium. | Max loss = spread width minus credit; downside risk if support broken. Substitutions: long_put: resolved contract 2026-08-21 $347.50 missing; used 2026-08-21 $345.00. |
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Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
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These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.