thetaOwl

CVNA

Carvana Co.Close $68.90EOD only
Max Pain
$74.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.08
5.9% from close
Price Gap
+5.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
70
High premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CVNA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
CVNA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Spot holds above gamma flip (60) and call OI supports upside.
Invalidation: Break below 68-69 puts with rising volume invalidates.
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +1 GEX/flow weakly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.4% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: 120C; 620C; 68-69 puts

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$529K bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.42

P/C OI ratio: 0.86

Mixed flows: heavy put volume (P/C vol 1.42) but call OI dominance and net premium positive. Unusual LEAPS call buys and concentrated put activity at 68-69. Gamma pinning at 60 supports, but market weakness caps upside.

Notable Prints

#1
CVNA 2027-03-19 $120.00 Call
Vol: 1,024
OI: 388
Vol/OI: 2.6x
IV: 70.2%
Notional: ~$558K
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Or short call

Read-through: Upside bet

#2
CVNA 2026-09-18 $620.00 Call
Vol: 485
OI: 191
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 50.0%
Notional: ~$420K
Intent: Lottery trade
Dual read: Or short leg

Read-through: Extreme upside

#3
CVNA 2026-07-24 $68.00 Put
Vol: 198
OI: 104
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 66.1%
Notional: ~$161K
Intent: Bearish hedge
Dual read: Or premium sale

Read-through: Downside hedge

#4
CVNA 2026-07-24 $71.00 Put
Vol: 404
OI: 235
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 66.6%
Notional: ~$414K
Intent: Bearish protection
Dual read: Or put close

Read-through: Bearish

#5
CVNA 2026-06-18 $69.00 Put
Vol: 509
OI: 337
Vol/OI: 1.5x
IV: 68.8%
Notional: ~$64K
Intent: Expiry bearish
Dual read: Or put sell

Read-through: Drop bet

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Deep OTM calls: $120 (Mar '27) and $620 (Sep '26) with high vol/oi

Put additions: Near-term puts: $68, $71 (Jul '26) and $69 (Jun '26) with elevated volume

GEX/DEX consistency: Aligned: positive GEX ($13.5M) and DEX (+42.5M) suggest bullish delta/gamma positioning

OI clusters: Put OI cluster at $68-$71 strikes (~14% below spot) and call OI at $120, $620

Hedging evidence: Put additions may hedge long call exposure; net premium positive but put volume elevated

Max pain context: Spot below max pain; gamma pinning regime suggests pressure to move toward MP

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Unusual deep OTM call purchases with vol/oi >2 indicate institutional upside bets
~Noise: High put/call volume ratio (1.42) may be hedging, not directional bearish
~Signal: Positive GEX and DEX consistent with bullish gamma and delta exposure

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions adding deep OTM calls ($120, $620) despite high put volume – strong upside conviction
⚠️Near-term puts ($68-$71) suggest hedging or bearish protection; mixed flow requires caution
⚖️GEX positive and gamma pinning may support spot recovery toward MP
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.