thetaOwl

CVNA

Carvana Co.Close $63.35EOD only
Max Pain
$69.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.61
5.7% from close
Price Gap
+5.65
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
49
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.89
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CVNA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
CVNA Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 20, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Break below $60 gamma flip or sustained put volume increase.
Invalidation: Spot reclaim above $70 max pain zone.
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 16.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: $75 call activity; gamma flip at $60

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$6.4M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.93

P/C OI ratio: 0.96

Mixed flows with strong bearish signals from negative net premium (-$6.4M) and negative gamma (-$33.3M GEX). Unusual put buying at deep OTM strikes (50,32) and active $75 call, net dealer positioning favors downside. Watch $60 gamma flip for acceleration.

Notable Prints

#1
CVNA 2026-05-22 $75.00 Call
Vol: 7,420
OI: 966
Vol/OI: 7.7x
IV: 59.8%
Notional: ~$237K
Intent: Bullish
Dual read: Cover?

Read-through: Bet above $75.

#2
CVNA 2026-05-22 $50.00 Put
Vol: 1,256
OI: 205
Vol/OI: 6.1x
IV: 85.9%
Notional: ~$13K
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Sale

Read-through: Bet on drop.

#3
CVNA 2026-05-29 $32.00 Put
Vol: 1,001
OI: 190
Vol/OI: 5.3x
IV: 145.3%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Lottery

Read-through: Crash bet.

#4
CVNA 2026-05-15 $68.50 Call
Vol: 618
OI: 158
Vol/OI: 3.9x
IV: 175.4%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Lottery
Dual read: Close

Read-through: Expiring OTM.

#5
CVNA 2026-05-29 $60.00 Put
Vol: 548
OI: 153
Vol/OI: 3.6x
IV: 61.5%
Notional: ~$34K
Intent: Bearish
Dual read: Spread

Read-through: Drop below $60.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $68.5-$77 weekly and $620 Sep calls

Put additions: $50, $60, $69 weekly and $32 downside puts

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX bearish (-$33.3M), DEX bullish (+54.6M shares); mixed

OI clusters: Put OI heavy at $60 (19.8k), call OI at $75+

Hedging evidence: Potential collars: $68.5C-$67P, $75C-$50P

Max pain context: Spot below MP, gamma flip at $60 pins toward $60

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: GEX/flow alignment and VIX 18 add bearish pressure
~Signal: Aggressive call buying at $75 (7.7x OI) and $620 Sep (2.5x OI)
~Noise: Low OI contracts with high vol/oi (e.g., $68.5C 3.2x)
~Noise: 16% spot-to-MP gap dilutes short-term pin accuracy

Key Conclusions

📈$75C heavy buying suggests bullish bet above $70
⚠️Put adds at $67/$60 signal hedging against breakdown below $60
🚀Long-dated $620C volume indicates long-term upside conviction
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.