thetaOwl

CRWV

CoreWeave, Inc.Close $100.55EOD only
Max Pain
$100.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.52
9.5% from close
Price Gap
-0.55
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
28
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CRWV options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
CRWV Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

Strong bullish flow and high IV regime support pin potential near $100 MP, with upside resistance at $115 call wall. No earnings event.

Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 6.7% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Most important: Spot $107.75 above MP; massive call OI at $115 creates ceiling. Watch for breakout or pin to $100.
📈Aggressive call buying at $108 signals bullish conviction.
🛡️Put floor at $62-$100 offers limited protection with spot at $107.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$100.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 56,709 (6.3% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-18 (3d): ±$7.95 (7.5%)
  • 2026-06-26 (11d): ±$13.15 (12.3%)
  • 2026-07-02 (17d): ±$15.92 (14.9%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward-sloping, front-end IV ~89%, back-end ~84%.

Crush estimate: No earnings crush; gradual decay post-expiry.

Skew: Put skew elevated at far OTM (91P IV 103%), reflecting tail hedging.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 20% (1/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not applicable - no upcoming earnings.

Directional bias: Not applicable - no upcoming earnings.

Key Levels

1$100.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $98.76/$114.66
3Max pain pins: $100 (2026-06-18); $103 (2026-06-26); $102 (2026-07-02)

Flow Highlights

Large $108 Call buy (4987 vol vs 1283 OI)

Aggressive bullish bet near ATM.

Unusual $107 Put activity (1453 vol vs 411 OI)

Potential hedging or bearish stance at key level.

Strategies

Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-18 $100.00/$99.00 put wing and $115.00/$116.00 call wing
Credit: $0.33-$0.40
Max loss: $0.60
Max gain: $0.40
BE: 99.60 / 115.40
Trigger: Close at 50% max gain or near expiry.
Defined risk, aligns with support/resistance.
Outperforms: Sell put wing at $100 and call wing at $115.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Short strangle
Sell 2026-06-18 $100.00 put + sell $115.00 call
Credit: $2.38-$2.92
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $2.92
BE: 97.08 / 117.92
Trigger: Monitor position; adjust if $100 or $115 breached.
Higher premium with unlimited loss risk.
Outperforms: Sell put $100 and call $115.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!High IV environment amplifies moves.
!Call OI wall at $115 creates resistance.
!Spot well above max pain ($100) increases pin risk.
!No earnings event scheduled.

What to Watch

?Spot price relative to $100 max pain.
?Volume on $115 calls for resistance test.
?VIX level for volatility trend.
?Open interest changes at $108 and $107 strikes.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.