thetaOwl

CRWV

CoreWeave, Inc.Close $117.95EOD only
Max Pain
$110.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$12.00
10.2% from close
Price Gap
-7.95
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
88
High premium
P/C OI
0.91
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CRWV options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
CRWV Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias from strong GEX/flow alignment and positive gamma; spot above MP. Key resistance $120/$134, gamma flip $100. Confidence 8/10.

Confidence:
8 / 10
Base5; GEX/flow+2, GEX pinning+1, spot-MP-1, VIX+1.
Supports: GEX/flow aligned, positive gamma, bullish flow.
Conflicts: Spot 17.9% from MP, gamma flip $100, resistance $120/$134.
📈GEX+$91.8M and bullish flow aligned.
⚠️Spot 17.9% above MP; gamma flip $100 risk.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
High vol from bullish flow and gamma hedging.
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Pinning with GEX+$91.8M; flip at $100.
Flow Regime
Bullish
Bullish flow, net premium inflow, call bias.
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Spot above MP by 17.9% within 1w range.
Thesis duration: Event-specific — Near-term expiries (Jun18,26,Jul2) drive event-specific dynamics; bullish flow but pinning risk.

Price Range Forecast

Next 1 week
$105.95$129.95
Range $105.95-$129.95; resistance $120.
Next 2 weeks
$101.90$134.00
Range $101.9-$134.0; support $101.9, resistance $134.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $100 (2026-06-18); $110 (2026-06-26); $106 (2026-07-02)
EM guardrails: 1w $105.95/$129.95
Support: $101.90
Resistance: $120.00 · $134.00
Gamma flip: ~$100.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 56,281 (15.2% below spot)
Structural: Max pain $100/$110/$106; EM 1w $105.95/$129.95; support $101.9; resistance $120/$134; gamma flip $100.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+91.8M

DEX: +48.3M shares

Gamma flip: ~$100 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 56,281 (15.2% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX+$91.8M (positive, pinning), DEX+48.3M shares, gamma flip ~$100.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV high vs VIX (16.4) due to bullish flow and gamma hedging.

Term structure: Contango with kinks at Jun18, Jun26, Jul2 expiries.

Skew: Call skew from demand; put spreads to hedge gamma flip risk.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium $42M, P/C vol 0.76, bullish.

Directional prints: 25.4 call 118 OTM 2026-06-18 — Vol 11.2k, OI 3k, ratio 3.7. Bought (upside) vs sold (cap). Preferred: bought. 25.6 put 116 OTM 2026-06-18 — Vol 18.5k, OI 1.4k, ratio 12.8. Bought (hedge) vs sold (income). Preferred: sold.

Unusual: 97.4 put 91 OTM 2026-07-02 — Vol 1.8k, OI 184, ratio 10.0, IV 97.4. Bought (bearish) vs sold. Preferred: sold. 30.7 put 117 OTM 2026-06-18 — Vol 3.7k, OI 701, ratio 5.3, IV 30.7. Bought vs sold. Preferred: sold. 50.8 put 112 OTM 2026-06-18 — Vol 5.1k, OI 997, ratio 5.1, IV 50.8. Bought vs sold. Preferred: sold.

Risks & Catalysts

!Pin to MP $100-$110
!Breach gamma flip $100
!Resistance at $120/$134

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-07-10 $121.00/$135.00 call spread
Why now: Buy $120 call, sell $125 call to finance premium. 22 DTE aligns with near-term bullish lean.
If spot reverses below $110, max loss is net debit.
Put credit spreadModerate
Sell 2026-07-17 $105.00/$95.00 put spread
Why now: Sell $110 put, buy $108 put. 29 DTE for premium harvest. Gamma flip at $100 provides buffer.
If spot drops below $108, max loss $2 wide.
Cash-secured putModerate
Sell 2026-07-02 $110.00 cash-secured put
Why now: Sell $110 put 14 DTE. High IV (85%) inflates premium. If assigned, acquire stock below current price.
If spot crashes below $100, stock may be put at $110.
Bullish risk reversalModerate-Strong
Buy 2026-08-21 $120.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $97.50 put
Why now: Buy $120 call, sell $110 put with 64 DTE. IV term structure supports. Upside participation with downside funded.
Unlimited downside if spot collapses below $110.

Top Plays

#1
Bull call spread
Buy 2026-07-10 $121.00/$135.00 call spread
Buy $121 call, sell $135 call to profit from rally above resistance.
Why this play: Best expresses bullish lean with defined risk near resistance. 22 DTE aligns with short-term bullish view.
Debit: $4.16-$5.09
Max loss: $5.09
BE: $126.09
Mgmt: Exit at 50% max gain or if spot falls below $102.
Traders expecting breakout above $120.
#2
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $105.00/$95.00 put spread
Sell $105 put, buy $95 put to collect credit while staying above support.
Why this play: Harvests premium with gamma flip buffer at $100. Safer alternative with 29 DTE.
Credit: $2.29-$2.79
Max loss: $7.21
BE: $102.21
Mgmt: Close if spot drops below $102 to avoid assignment risk.
Traders favoring high-probability income.
#3
Cash-secured put
Sell 2026-07-02 $110.00 cash-secured put
Sell $110 put to collect premium. If assigned, own stock below current price.
Why this play: Short-term income play with 14 DTE. High IV inflates premium.
Credit: $4.05-$4.95
Max loss: $105.05
BE: $105.05
Mgmt: Roll if spot approaches $105 to avoid deep ITM assignment.
Traders willing to buy the stock at a discount.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFIF spot breaks above $120 resistance with volumeTHEN buy $121/$135 bull call spread for $4.16-$5.09 debit
IFIF spot holds above $102 supportTHEN sell $105/$95 put credit spread for $2.29-$2.79 credit
Exit Triggers
EXITIF spot closes below $101.9 supportTHEN close all bullish positions immediately

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias, strong GEX/flow. Support $101.9, resistance $120/$134, gamma flip $100. Confidence 8/10. Top plays: bull call spread on breakout above $120; put credit spread for income above $102. Exit if support fails.
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.