thetaOwl

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.Close $150.11EOD only
Max Pain
$167.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.42
5.0% from close
Price Gap
+17.39
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
9
Low premium
P/C OI
0.86
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects COIN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
COIN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because near-term support at $127 and crypto correlation introduce bounce risk that could invalidate the bearish thesis; Theta's avoidance also lowers conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias across all personas — flow shows aggressive put buying, dealer gamma negative, and IV elevated, reinforcing downside pressure toward $125.

Where They Diverge

Theta advises avoiding the trade entirely due to high IV crush risk, while directional and earnings recommend bear put spreads — a conflict of actionable vs. precautionary. Additionally, directional warns of a potential bounce from support at $127, undermining the bearish continuation.

Top Trade
via earnings

Buy 2026-08-21 $145.00/$140.00 bear put spread for net debit ~$5.00 — defined risk, benefits from elevated IV and bearish flow.

Key Risk

Break above $155 resistance flips dealer gamma positive and invalidates bearish flow thesis — upside accelerates to $165.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.