thetaOwl

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.Close $169.62EOD only
Max Pain
$167.50
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.67
5.7% from close
Price Gap
-2.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
53
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.76
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects COIN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
COIN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not 6.5 because the bearish flow and earnings signals directly contradict the bullish pin thesis, and the mixed flow with heavy puts reduces conviction below the individual persona confidence levels.

Where Perspectives Agree

Spot pinned near $168 with dealer gamma support and high IV, but capped by resistance at $170 and sector weakness.

Where They Diverge

Flow and earnings are bearish (put-heavy positioning) while directional and theta are bullish (capped upside), creating conflicting trade structures: bear put spread vs put credit spread.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $165/$160 put spread for credit (approx $1.00) — defined risk, bullish bias with support at $167.

Key Risk

Break below $167 flips dealer gamma long and triggers downside acceleration to $155, invalidating the pin.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.